Let’s take a look at the latest box office battle of "Nezha: The Devil Child" (hereinafter referred to as "Nezha"). As of August 7, the box office of this film may exceed 2.9 billion, and the authoritative platform has increased it for the Nth time. The film’s final box office forecast has reached 4.68 billion. If this forecast can be achieved smoothly, the final box office of "Nezha" will surpass "Wandering Earth" and become the movie in mainland movie history second only to "Wolf Warrior 2". Compared with the "Reunion 4" that was released more than three months ago, the box office in the Mainland is four to five billion higher, which is gratifying.
Of course, "Nezha" will eventually exceed 4.5 billion at the box office, and even surpass the "Wandering Earth" to reach the 5 billion mark. It is not so easy. "Wandering Earth" took nearly 26 days to get 4.5 billion at the box office. "Nezha" wants to climb this high mountain, and at least has to pass four levels. Let's take a look at the "blockers" in these four levels.
The first level: "Heroes of Fire" and "Heroes of the Gallbladder"
, the two "hero" movies in the second week after the release of "Nezha", formed the first level, this level "Nezha" has actually been Successfully passed through, the quality of "Heroes of Fire" is acceptable. Under the momentum of "Nezha", it can still harvest 1 billion box office. However, the film does not seem to cause much damage to the box office of "Nezha", starring Yue Yunpeng "Mouse Gallant Hero" still hasn't escaped the law of "starring Xiaoyueyue, it must be a bad movie", it has become cannon fodder under the double suppression of "Nezha" and "Heroes of Agni", which is not worth mentioning.
Second level: "Apostle Walker 2: Operation Spy" and "Shanghai Fortress"
2019 is known as the first year of domestic science fiction films. In addition to "The Wandering Earth" and "Crazy Alien" at the beginning of the year, in the middle of the year "Shanghai Fortress" has also attracted much attention, and mainland audiences can finally see the smoke-filled scenes of modern Chinese cities on the big screen. However, "Shanghai Fortress" has not yet been released, and it has encountered huge controversy. The main controversy is on the protagonists Lu Han and Shu Qi. Many netizens believe that the CP they formed is too strong and the Douban platform has already flooded hundreds of people. Pressing a negative review for the film, it seems that "Shanghai Fortress" does not seem to have a major impact on "Nezha". "Apostle Walker 2" is Louis Koo’s latest work. Prior to this, the workaholic of the film industry has launched three starring movies this year, with a cumulative box office of over 2 billion. "Apostle Walker 2" should not be too bad at the box office. , But it is also difficult to stop the Nuggets of Nezha.
Third level: "Angry Birds 2", "The Silent Witness" and "Dragon Card Mystery"
"Angry Birds 2" is an opponent that cannot be ignored. The target audience of the film is similar to that of "Nezha" The degree of overlap is very high. Benefiting from the popularity of the game of the same name, "Angry Birds" sold 500 million in the mainland three years ago. Now the sequel returns, the box office should not be lower than the previous one. If nothing happens, wait until "Angry" When "The Bird 2" (August 16) was released, "Ne Zha" should be suppressed by the other party at the single-day box office. "The Silent Witness", released on the same day as "Little Bird", is a crime film directed by Hollywood director Rennie Haring. The actors include Zhang Jiahui, Ren Xianqi, Yang Zi and others. Renee Haring's level of directing has declined sharply in recent years. The author is not optimistic about the quality and box office expectations of "The Silent Witness". "The Mystery of Dragon Card" is Jackie Chan's new film, co-produced between China and Russia. I don't know if I have no confidence or are ready to skip tickets. This movie is now extremely low-key. It stands to reason that Jackie Chan's movie should not be so unconfident.
Fourth Level: "Fast and Furious: Special Operations" and "Keep Silent"
"Fast and Furious: Special Operations" has been unveiled in North America, with a box office of 60 million US dollars in the first week, which is only quite satisfactory, because the production cost of this film is high 200 million US dollars, which is more than 1.4 billion yuan. Obviously, it is impossible for "Special Operations" to recover costs in the North American market. It can only rely on the Chinese mainland market. In fact, if it were not for the previous "quick" series in the mainland The market has exploded, and this "quick" rumored film will probably not come out. When the film is released on August 23, it is likely to directly hit the box office of "Nezha" into millions or even less in a single day. "Keep Silent" is a new film led by Zhou Xun. It seems to have skipped tickets from April to the end of August. If this kind of suspense film has no word of mouth, it is almost impossible to make a difference in the box office.
Having said that, even if there are four levels to break through, it seems that "Nezha" finally exceeded 40 at the box office.Billion has also been nailed down. For domestic animated films, this is a work that can be recorded in the annals of history like "A Harass in Heaven" and "Nezha Nao in the Sea". (Author: Niu Jinshi)
