Dushanbe and Bishkek were reconciled after the recent large-scale clashes on the Taji border. The chairmen of the national security committees of the two countries signed a protocol on the cessation of border conflicts between the two countries, agreeing to remove four border posts from both sides in areas where border conflicts occurred, and also reached an agreement on the mutual withdrawal of troops mobilized during the escalation and their return to regular deployment .
The mission appears to be complete, and the long-awaited peace is finally here in the long-suffering frontier. However, most analysts are skeptical of this prospect.
"Through the 'efforts' of the official Bishkek and all local media, the image of Tajikistan in Kyrgyzstan is closely linked with the "aggressors". Kyrgyzstan President Zaparov's speech at the 77th United Nations General Assembly It proves this. He first praised the friendship between the two peoples, and then directly accused Tajikistan of aggression against Kyrgyzstan." said Yerkin Borambayev, a political scientist from Kazakhstan.
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We don't want an inch of land in another country
Analysts believe that most of the arguments of the high-level speech, if it is not easy to put it, are not true, which is diametrically opposite to what happened. For example, the Kyrgyz leader mentioned that "we are willing to continue negotiations with our partner (Tajikistan)." A few days ago, he called the border conflict an "aggression" and thanked the border guards for their "heroic and fearless response to the enemy". It turned out that Tajikistan was called an "enemy" internally and a "partner" externally.
Zaparov assured the members of the assembly: "We have always tried to avoid the use of weapons, and we have never shot unarmed civilians! We must respond every time." Positions and troops are ready. Tajikistan Foreign Minister Muhriddin said: "Since last fall, the Kyrgyz side has been preparing for aggression and deploying military infrastructure near the border between the two countries." Happening. Coupled with large-scale attacks by the media, including various illusions created by powerful departments, such as special forces "men in black" attacking border posts.
Fayozov's family in the village of Jorkuh, Isfara, tell about the shooting of unarmed civilians. Five of their relatives, including two children and a pregnant woman, were burned alive in an ambulance that was shot by soldiers from a neighbouring country.
Zaparov concluded: "I want to emphasize that the Kyrgyz side does not want other countries' land, but it will not give up any centimeter of its own land to other countries."
Since 2010, there have been more than 230 clashes on the Taji border. And that's not even counting "stones" thrown at each other by peasants in the border areas before the army intervened. Neighbors who have lived side by side in peace and friendship for centuries are suddenly filled with hatred for each other.
In an interview with Sputnik, Tajik statesman Sheralli Rizoyan pointed out: "In the context of the current conflict, the most difficult step for both sides is to stop the heat-hearted calls for bloody revenge and punishment against the supposed 'enemy'. The first thing to do is stop the flow of information wars. We need to stop demonizing each other. Unfortunately, there is a lot of disruptive and deliberately provocative information being circulated right now, some of which are discourses that could have implications for a peaceful settlement This issue has a negative impact."
Now, there are efforts on both sides to stop the spread of hate speech. For example, Zaparov asked the Ministry of Defense to keep track of a list of "Internet fighters" dissatisfied with peaceful resolution and send them to the actual border guards as reservists to see what they wrote.
Rizoyan pointed out: "In this sense, there is no winning side. Neither side of Taji has enough material resources to continue the war of information and reality. I think it is particularly important that the authorities of both countries find a diplomatic way to resolve The issue, but that first requires the political will to implement the signed documents."
But unfortunately, not everyone is interested in peace between neighboring countries. The purpose of certain actors is to deliberately add fuel to old conflicts, deliberately pitting CSTO members against each other, making them vulnerable to terrorist attacks.
Borambayev said: "Only naive people would believe that this hatred emerged on their own. It is not. It was carefully nurtured by an 'external force', which is a foreign intelligence agency."
At the same time, the Experts point to a worrying trend in recent years. Previously, border clashes were provoked with the support of smugglers from both countries, and now the leaders of the political elite are involved. He said: "If we trace the chronological order of recent events in Tajikistan and Tajikistan, it is not difficult to see the connection with the process in Kyrgyzstan and the whole region. Every time the 'black material' of the country's most influential politician is thrown, Both will lead to an escalation of the situation on the border. The same will happen on the eve of an important international event in Central Asia.”
According to him, Zaparov is very concerned about proving his legitimacy, because, in 2020, in the capital of Kyrgyzstan During the protests in Shkek, Zaparov was released from prison and went on to become prime minister, acting president and president. Since then, Zaparov has used opposition to "external aggressors" as an excuse to expand his power.
Borambayev concluded: "This is why the Bishkek authorities are using various pretexts to delay the process of demarcation and demarcation of the border between the two countries. The Kyrgyz authorities have blatantly forged so-called archives with obvious traces of forgery, in order to illegally or incompatible with the The former authorities reached an excuse to deny previous agreements."
However, it is time for the elites of both countries to realize that these political games have caused many victims and brought grief to people. For the well-being of the two peoples, it is time to end this protracted dispute.
Zaparov said: "We are willing to continue negotiations and accept international regulation." All that remains is to jointly select the most authoritative representatives to participate in, and not deviate from this line until the end.
Source: Satellite Network
Columnist: Grigory Rostov
Compilation: Zhou Jie