According to Taiwan's Zhongshi Electronic News, after Kaohsiung Mayor Han Yu was deposed, the future trend has attracted much attention. However, whether Han can make a comeback has also become the focus. You Yinglong, chairman of the pro-green "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation", believes that Han Guoyu's only chance is to wait for Tsai Ing-wen to make a mistake, as it was a year and a half ago. He mentioned that there is a close to perfect co-change relationship between Tsai and Han. If Tsai Ing-wen is good, Han Guoyu is miserable; on the contrary, if Tsai Ing-wen is poor, Han Guoyu will have a chance.
You Yinglong pointed out on Facebook that in late December 2019, he used an emotional thermometer to measure the emotional temperature of Taiwan voters towards Tsai Ing-wen and Han Guoyu in the last Taiwanese poll before the election. It was found that Tsai Ing-wen was 57.92 degrees and Han Guoyu was 38.17 degrees. This is less than 1 percentage point worse than the last two in the "general election". However, the key point is to use the same survey method. Hanguo Yu dropped from 62.12 degrees in December 2018 to only 38.17 degrees in December 2019. Why Han went from a high point of popularity to a low point in just one year, the temperature difference was 24 degrees, the reason is deeply explored.
Does Han Yu have a future? You Yinglong believes that Hanguo Yu's only chance is to wait for Tsai Ing-wen to make a mistake, as it was a year and a half ago. Tsai Han has a close to perfect co-change relationship. Tsai Ing-wen is good, Han Han Yu is miserable; on the contrary, when Tsai Ing-wen is poor, Han Yu has a chance. "The important thing is, will Tsai Ing-wen repeat the same mistakes and re-emergence? Generally speaking, people are rational, and that probability is not high. But people are people, and people still make mistakes."
