First, the game between China and the United States will dominate the world development trend
" American century " has ended, and the game between China and the United States will define the world development trend in the next few decades. In contrast, the Ukraine crisis is only a footnote in the Sino-US century game and will not change the course of history.
America's biggest problem is that it lacks a long-term geopolitical strategy like China's. At present, the United States must answer three strategic questions: First, can it subvert the Chinese Communist Party in the same way that it subverted the Soviet Union? cannot! Because the Chinese Communist Party is very powerful.
Second, is it possible to isolate China? cannot! Because no country in the world is as closely intertwined with the global economy as China.
The fifth China International Import Expo will be held in Shanghai from November 5th to 10th, 2022. The National Exhibition and Convention Center (Shanghai) has been completely renovated and is waiting for guests from all over the world.
Third, can it stop China's development? also can not! Even if China's economic growth slows in 2022, China has had far fewer low-growth years than the West in the past 30 years. In the next ten years, China's economy will still grow smoothly at an average rate of 5%.
2. Value diplomacy exposes the hypocrisy and arrogance of the West
's attempt to "promote change through trade" is purely an illusion, and more reflects the arrogance of the West. How can an ancient civilization with thousands of years of history be Westernized? How qualified is the West, which only accounts for 12% of the world's population, to preach to other countries? In the long history of
, China and India maintained the status of
as the most powerful economies in the world until 1820. The West's mere two-hundred-year dominance is nothing but a historical exception. The Western model cannot be considered superior. Just as no one asks Europe to change its flag, Europe should also allow other countries to explore their own development paths.In May 2021, Mick Wallace, a member of the European Parliament, gave an in-depth analysis of China's peaceful development in the past 6,000 years, which "never invaded, never bombed, and never sanctioned other countries".
Values are important, but every country sacrifices values for geopolitical goals. As the greatest moral authority India has ever seen, Mahatma Gandhi was quite great. But if a decision is to be made about geopolitics , we should be asking Henry Kissinger. For major powers, it is more geopolitical priority.
We live in a very complex world, and the West tends to deal with problems in a black-and-white simplistic way, which may drag itself into the abyss of desperate contradictions. If it really sticks to its values, why doesn't the West stop importing energy from "problematic authoritarian regimes"? And why should we withdraw from Afghanistan let Taliban take over power? This has made the world see the hypocrisy of Western values diplomacy.
In August 2021, thousands of Afghans flooded the Kabul Karzai International Airport runway, trying to chase and board the US C-17 transport plane that was about to take off.
Fukuyama 's " end of history " makes the West admire itself. The problem is that the West should not dominate the world when it comes to how to achieve democracy. I call on the West to abandon sermons and export self-righteous values and seek dialogue instead. Don't sanction other countries because of different values. The West has long lost its moral high ground.
3. Decoupling and breaking the chain are not in the interests of the United States and Europe
decoupling from China is not a wise move. The West was originally the creator of open markets and globalization, but now China is more willing to sign free trade agreements than the US. It is of historic significance to promote the implementation of the " Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement " (RCEP) and to promote the world's largest free trade zone.
China pushes for Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) came into effect, applying to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and the Digital Economy Partnership (DEPT), taking a new step in regional cooperation against the headwinds of protectionism . (Cartoon | Cai Meng)
and the United States did not join, this is a mistake. The United States should be clear that decoupling from China means breaking away from most of the world economy, because China is the starting point or the end point of many global supply chains.
"de-globalization" is impossible. China did benefit from American consumption in the early days of its rise. But now the situation has changed, and the growing middle class in Asia is rewriting history. No one in Asia talks about "de-globalization", Asians love globalization. EU should also strengthen cooperation with ASEAN countries. Although ASEAN is loosely organized, its pragmatic culture is worth learning from.
Fourth, "the rule of China" is the world's luck
China may not be a perfect country, but no country in the world has improved the living standards of its people like China. International public opinion ignores the current "Good Governance". In fact, the Chinese government has always adhered to the spirit of pragmatism, improving people's livelihood and achieving the best results in the world.
During the financial crisis, China's economy was the first to recover and turned the tide globally. On the issue of epidemic prevention and control, China is regarded as a global role model. Although the epidemic has caused problems such as the loss of foreign capital, China's attitude of welcoming foreign investment has not changed. Moreover, the number of patent applications in China has jumped to the first place in the world, and it no longer relies on investors' intellectual property rights. I believe that China can properly resolve relevant issues, and we will wait and see next year.
China will continue to contribute valuable certainty to the world economy.
Whether the world will be more just, peaceful and better in the future depends to a large extent on how we deal with the rise of China. Strong multilateral institutions and a rules-based world are good for all countries, especially China.
On September 24, 2022, after the Chinese side's speech at the general debate of the 77th United Nations General Assembly, representatives from many countries waited to shake hands with State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, expressing their support and recognition for China's initiative.
Chinese value predictability and stability. Compared with a strong China, the West should be more worried about China's weakness. Because China has suffered a century of humiliation by foreign aggression, a weak China may give birth to the rise of nationalism. It is a blessing for the world that the Communist Party of China has led China to become a predictable force on the international stage.
