How does disease change with the seasons? What might this mean for the new coronavirus?

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how do we get "discomfort due to weather changes"?

For a thousand years, this problem has fascinated the medical profession. From Hippocrates to Salk, observers of disease have noticed that the disease rises and disappears with the seasons. For example, the flu disappears in the summer

. Late autumn or winter comes back

Due to a new disease, the new crown pneumonia COVID-19

is sweeping the world. Scientists, government departments

and the public all want to know whether

can weaken the power of the virus with the arrival of summer in the northern hemisphere?

There are dozens of other diseases known to be seasonal

in the southwestern United States, rotavirus (causing acute gastroenteritis)

is easily transmitted in the middle of winter

, but in the northeastern United States, the virus prefers to spread in the spring

In China, syphilis seems to like to spread

in winter as well as winter is the spread of hepatitis C in India

Before the invention of the vaccine, polio

was a summer disease in the United States

swimming pools were often closed to prevent the spread of the disease

but only a few Researchers specialize in the seasonality of diseases

and there are many they don’t understand.

A hypothesis that the virus can survive better in certain seasons.

When a flu patient sneezes, the flu virus is scattered in thousands. In the tiny droplets of

researchers suspect that due to seasonal humidity and temperature changes

these droplets will volatilize

at different rates. This and other factors may affect the membrane that wraps the surface of each influenza virus

, that is, the envelope. Another factor of

's vitality may be that people spend less time indoors

in summer

or people’s diet has changed

Micaela Martinez, a

ecologist at Columbia University who studies infectious diseases

is exploring another possibility

What if our immune system changes with the seasons?

Scientists know that this happens in animals.

, a small bird named Shijiao, boosts its immune system during the summer.

kills bacteria before the start of migration.

requires a lot of extra energy.

is a study conducted in humans. It was found that the

flu vaccine can trigger a stronger response when given in the morning than when given in the afternoon,

, which indicates that the immune system has a circadian rhythm,

, which is affected by melatonin. The level of the hormone

increases at night.

Martinez established a research base at the University of Surrey in the United Kingdom

. Here, a unique laboratory allows her to monitor changes in the human body under strict

controlled light conditions.

In December, 12 male and female subjects Come to the laboratory to report to

Researchers wipe their noses with swabs

screen 16 different respiratory viruses

each of them has their own temperature-controlled room

They will stay in the room for 24 hours under dim light

On this day, researchers repeatedly take blood samples

Researchers hope to understand how different light in the four seasons affects the immune cells

in different people

and the changes in the number and position of immune cells in the body

how the body's ability to fight different diseases

So about COVID-19, what can the science of disease seasonality

tell us?

Unfortunately, nothing can tell us that the new disease

only appeared in December last year.

Scientists say it is too early to judge whether it is seasonal

Other coronaviruses that can cause colds are indeed infected in winter. However, these viruses have been circulating in humans for a long time. Since COVID-19 is a brand new disease, no one is immune to

. So, even in summer,Conditions become unsuitable for the virus to survive

This virus may continue to spread

Hopefully it will spread at a relatively low level

Because we still know very little about the seasonal effects of infectious diseases

It takes time to understand the facts

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