"Kuo-yu will not stop being the leader of Taiwan's legislative body, and he is expected to fight again in 2028." This is a prediction made by a numerologist on the island of Taiwan (actually another name for "fortune teller").
For Hanguo-yu, taking over the leadership of Taiwan’s legislative body is definitely another beginning in his political life, and of course it is also a new stage in his life. At present, Hanguo-yu has become a hot figure in Taiwan. In addition, he has the support of a large number of "Korean fans", and now he has become a powerful faction within the blue camp. As for fighting for the top position in four years, I'm afraid it's too early to talk about this issue now, but this prediction also seems to hint at the KMT 2028.
However, if the KMT 2028 is really discussed, the most likely person is not Han Guoyu, but Lu Xiuyan, the "first sister of the Blue Army". In the island's 2024 election on January 13, the biggest highlight of the KMT was probably that the Blue Army led by Lu Xiuyan won the Taichung Democratic Representative Election. Lu Xiuyan is also highly recognized by the outside world. Let’s use the incident of Han Kuo-yu’s election as the leader of Taiwan’s legislative body as an example to discuss the KMT’s 2028.
(1) The outside world has high expectations for Han Kuo-yu, and some numerologists even calculated that he will fight again. 2028
html On February 1, Han Kuo-yu successfully won the leadership of Taiwan’s legislative body. After 8 years, this position returned to the blue. In the hands of the military, it is not until the election of the leader and deputy leaders of Taiwan's legislative body on February 1 that it truly means the official end of the 2024 election on the island. This is probably the KMT’s biggest gain in the entire 2024 election.Han Guoyu has always had a high voice in the island's political arena. Coupled with his down-to-earth and bold personality, the island's media and public opinion have always paid close attention to this political star. This time Han Hanyu won the leading position of Taiwan's legislative body, which boosted the morale of voters in the pan-blue camp after the 2024 election. Public opinion in Taiwan also has high expectations for Han Kuo-yu's election.
For example, an article in Taiwan's "China Times" wrote: For Hanguo-yu personally, this is also an opportunity to regain public enthusiasm. His ability to win the position of leader of Taiwan's legislative body is due to his personal characteristics and unity with the opposition. As a result, justice was given to Han Guoyu, who had been dismissed. For Lai Qingde and the DPP, Hanguo-yu will play an important role in checking and balancing.
Another article in Taiwan's "China Times" wrote: Now Han Guoyu is the KMT's highest-ranking person in the island's political arena. If he can do well in Taiwan's legislative body and make the people feel it, this will Reviving the support of the central voters for the Kuomintang will also add weight to the Kuomintang's return to the political stage four years later.
In short, Han Guoyu will play a very important role in the next four years, and he is also related to the fate of the Kuomintang four years later.
For Han Guoyu, February 1 is the beginning of a new stage in life, and it is also another personal political peak. Could it be that Han Kuo-yu’s political peak ends here? A prophecy came from the island of Taiwan: Hanguo-yu's political life will not stop at Taiwan's legislative body. He is expected to fight again in 2028 on behalf of the Kuomintang in four years.
According to a report from Taiwan's "China Times", on February 2, the island's numerologist Jiang Bole posted on his personal social media: Han Guoyu has taken the lead in the legislative body of Taiwan. It can be said that he is very prosperous, and even has someone in 2028. His strength once again aspired to the top position or the head of Taiwan's administrative agencies, becoming the most popular political star in the blue camp.
Jiang Bole wrote this: Based on the divination predictions in the "Book of Changes", he divined the "Earth Water Master" divination, which means that his fortune will be very prosperous in the Year of the Dragon, weaker in the Year of the Snake and Horse, and very prosperous in the Year of the Sheep; In particular, his fortune is extremely prosperous in March, June, September, and December (months with triples) in the Lunar Calendar of the Year of the Dragon. In addition, the outside world generally predicts that with Hanguo-yu's personal characteristics, he is expected to perform very well when he serves as the leader of Taiwan's legislative body in the future, and this will also have a great impact on his personal political future. He himself is also expected to become a 4 A popular candidate for the top spot on the island later this year.
Jiang Bole also believes that Han Guoyu’s financial fortune is also very good this year. As long as he invests, he will make a lot of money. That is to say, his official and financial fortune will be prosperous this year; but he should pay attention to his health in September and December of the lunar calendar this year and June and September of the lunar calendar of the Sheep Year. Healthy, may be overworked. Jiang Bole also predicted: If Han Guoyu is expected to partner with Lu Xiuyan and Jiang Wanan in four years, he is expected to form the best and most shocking combination in the 2028 election.
Han Guoyu fights again in 2028? This statement is quite worthy of attention. However, when Taiwan’s China Times reported the incident, it added the following sentence: Folklore sayings are for reference only. The implication is: I am only reporting, and the prediction that South Korea will not be selected for the 2028 election has nothing to do with me.
However, another numerologist Cai Shangji analyzed that it is difficult for the person in charge of Taiwan’s legislative body to be a peace officer. Judging from the 2024 Ziwei zodiac sign, it will be the so-called "Sha Po Lang" from Feng Lian Zhen, Po Jun Hua Lu. "Character, Hanguo Yu's life is always inseparable from hard work, confrontation and fighting. When he encounters the strong, he becomes strong, and when he encounters the weak, he becomes weak. This is the destiny of the tragic era, and the fate of the phoenix on fire. To sum up: Hanguo-yu will face a fight in his career as the head of Taiwan's legislative body in the next four years.
These are two different life predictions for Han Guoyu himself from the perspective of the "Book of Changes". In fact, looking at Han Guoyu's political life, it is really full of ups and downs. In his early years, he served as an assistant to a parliamentarian, a Taipei County Councilor, the second to fourth term representative of the People's Republic of China, and the deputy mayor of Taipei County (now restructured into New Taipei City). Later, he retired from politics for a long time. In 2016, when he was the general manager of Beinong, he became famous because of his confrontation with Taipei City Councilor Wang Shijian in the Taipei City Council. In the 2018 "nine-in-one" election, Han Kuo-yu won the Democratic People's Republic of China in one fell swoop despite no one being optimistic about it. He joined the Party's home base in Kaohsiung and quickly started a "Korean Wave" in southern Taiwan. In 2020, he was nominated for the KMT primary election, but later lost to Tsai Ing-wen, and then lost the mayor of Kaohsiung. Han Guoyu himself disappeared from the public again. In 2023, Hanguo-yu led the Kuomintang to attack Taiwan's legislative body, until recently it successfully won the leading position. Therefore, Han Guoyu's political life has been full of ups and downs.
(2) Whether Han Kuo-yu can fight again in 2028 depends on his performance in Taiwan’s legislative body in the next four years.
However, Jiang Bole’s prediction that Han Kuo-yu is expected to fight again in 2028 is worthy of attention. Now that the 2024 election on the island has just ended, the next step for the KMT should be to prepare for the 2026 "nine-in-one" election. It is too early to see whether the KMT's 2028 election campaign is a bit too early.
Judging from the time point, it is indeed too early to observe who will represent the Kuomintang in four years. However, under some specific backgrounds, some clues can actually be seen, among which Ma Ying-jeou is the most typical example. In 2004, the combination of Lien Chan and James Soong narrowly defeated Chen Shui-bian. After the 2004 election, public opinion on the island at that time was generally optimistic about Ma Ying-jeou, the most popular person in the blue camp at the time and the then mayor of Taipei. In 2006, Ma Ying-jeou successfully handed over the baton in Taipei City, and then went to the United States for an "interview" with ease. This led the outside world to believe that Ma Ying-jeou would represent the Kuomintang in 2008. The result was as expected.
As for whether Han Kuo-yu will fight again in 2028, in fact, as early as 2023, there were calls within the Kuomintang that "we hope Han Kuo-yu will replace Hou Youyi and fight in 2024." Seeing that Hou Youyi was not doing well in the polls, the then Kuomintang representative Zheng Liwen decided that Hou Youyi was not ready for the 2024 election at all, so she took the first shot of "changing the candidate", hoping that Han Guoyu would replace Hou Youyi and represent the Kuomintang in the 2024 election. . In fact, from a theoretical analysis, South Korea's Yu is indeed much better than Hou Youyi. Before November 24 last year, Hou Youyi's job was to integrate the Blue Army, which wasted a lot of time, and Hou Youyi was inside the Blue Camp. His approval rating is simply not comparable to that of Han Kuo-yu.
After all, Han Kuo-yu has participated in the 2020 election. The DPP has exhausted all the cards it can play, the dirty information it can dig up, and the methods it can use. Moreover, Han Kuo-yu’s participation in the election can also play a tragic card.
So how likely is it that Han Guoyu will play again in 2028? First of all, from a procedural point of view, although Han Guoyu lost the 2020 election, this does not prevent him from being nominated again within the blue camp in the future. After losing the Lien Chan election in 2000, he still represented the KMT again in 2004; the same was true within the Democratic Progressive Party. Tsai Ing-wen failed in her duel with Ma Ying-jeou in 2012, but four years later it was Tsai Ing-wen who represented the DPP in 2016, so Han Kuo-yu will compete in 2028 This possibility exists.
Taiwan's "China Times" put forward a theory that if Han Kuo-yu performs well in Taiwan's legislative body in the next four years and can once again stir up the "Korean Wave" with his personal charm and work performance, it does not rule out that Han Kuo-yu will fight again in 2028. possibility. And compared with 2020, Han Kuo-yu has no political baggage this time. During the 2020 election, Han Kuo-yu still served as the mayor of Kaohsiung, and the political baggage brought by the position of head of Taiwan's legislative body is considerable. Much smaller than the former. All in all, Han Guoyu has the opportunity to challenge 2028 on behalf of the Kuomintang.
(3) From the current point of view, it is very likely that the person representing the Kuomintang in the battle in 2028 will be the "first sister of the Blue Army" Lu Xiuyan.
However, when it comes to the Kuomintang in 2028, in fact, the one with the highest probability of participating is not Han Guoyu, but Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan.
Although the Kuomintang lost the island election on January 13, there was one bright spot: Lu Xiuyan led the Kuomintang’s democratic candidates to directly flip several democratic seats in Taichung City. Before the election on January 13, Taichung City’s democratic representative seats were blue 2 and green 6. However, after the January 13 election, Taichung City’s democratic representative seats were blue 6 and green 2, which was a big flip. Taichung City has always been considered the core of Central Taiwan, and the latter is the decisive battleground in the island's general elections. There has always been a saying of "decisive battle in Central Taiwan" in the island's elections. After Lu Xiuyan's operations, it is obvious that the Kuomintang is in The roots of Central Taiwan have become deeper.
In addition, in this election, Lu Xiuyan created a typical demonstration area of "blue and white". Unlike the Blue and White disbandment on November 23 last year, Lu Xiuyan supported Cai Biru of the Democratic Progressive Party against Cai Qichang of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taichung's first district. In the end, Cai Biru narrowly defeated Cai Qichang, who has worked in Taichung for many years, but Lu Xiuyan This move undoubtedly won the favor of some white camp voters.
Media and public opinion on the island spoke highly of Lu Xiuyan. In the 2022 "nine-in-one" election, Lu Xiuyan easily defeated challenger Cai Qichang with a huge advantage and was easily re-elected as the mayor of Taichung. Before the Kuomintang officially recruited Hou Youyi in May 2023, a survey poll was released on the Internet. It was found that Lu Xiuyan, known as the "Swallow", had a very high online voice, leaving Hou Youyi and Guo Taiming far behind. later. Taiwan's "China Times" commented on Lu Xiuyan: She has a very soft figure and has a high degree of support from the Taichung City Government team. Now she has become the "new co-owner" within the blue camp.
Taiwan's "United Daily News" said: She is learning from Ming Taizu Zhu Yuanzhang's "Build walls high, accumulate grain widely, and slowly become king". She has an extremely accurate grasp of public opinion. This is why Lu Xiuyan was weakly elected in 2018 Although he won the mayor of Taichung with an advantage, he was able to win re-election with a high vote in 2022. Until now, there is still an important reason for 80% of the satisfaction of governing in Taichung.
Taiwan's "United Daily News" also said: Lu Xiuyan has a soft figure, does not make enemies, and is polite and considerate. With a long-term perspective, Cai Biru is a "good move" she has made, which will come in handy in 2028. Lu Xiuyan lives in the "swing state" of Taichung and understands that median voters and economic voters are the key forces. This vision will be of great help to her in future elections. Therefore, Taiwan's "United Daily News" finally concluded: Lai Qingde's strong opponent in 2028 is definitely Lu Xiuyan.
In fact, Lu Xiuyan has several advantages in vying for the top position four years later: First, she is not running for office. The biggest lesson for the Kuomintang in the three elections of 2016, 2020 and 2024 is probably that of running for office. In 2016, Zhu Lilun ran for the mayor of New Taipei City, but lost to Tsai Ing-wen; in 2020, Han Kuo-yu ran for the mayor of Kaohsiung, but lost to Tsai Ing-wen; in 2024, Hou Youyi ran for the mayor of New Taipei City, but lost again.It is estimated that the biggest lesson the Kuomintang has learned from these three elections is that local mayors who run for office will lose. Voters are tired of this kind of performance of "taking Long and looking forward to Shu". But Lu Xiuyan does not have this concern. Lu Xiuyan will step down from office in 2026. She can run for election without political baggage, and she can also make arrangements easily.
Secondly, Lu Xiuyan’s political resume is very complete. Generally speaking, the blue and green camps usually pay attention to the completeness of their political resume when training candidates for high-ranking positions. Lu Xiuyan has a very complete political resume. She has served as a member of parliament, a representative of the people, and a local mayor. She has rich political experience and almost no negative reviews.
Thirdly, after years of planning, Lu Xiuyan has a deep foundation in Taichung City. Some media and public opinion on the island have described her as the "Chinese Overlord", and Central Taiwan is the inhabited area of the middle voters, and it is also the center of Taiwan's previous elections. In the decisive battle, this is a very important advantage for Lu Xiuyan.
Fourth, as mentioned above, in the 2024 election, Lu Xiuyan strongly supported Cai Biru to create a "Blue and White Cooperation" demonstration area, thereby winning the favor of some People's Party supporters, whether it is the "Blue and White Cooperation" four years later , or win the support of People's Party voters, which will be a very big advantage for Lu Xiuyan.
Huang Weihan, a senior media person on the island, once said: After completing the post of mayor of Taichung in 2026, Lu Xiuyan will have exactly 13 months to run three laps across Taiwan to connect with the 2028 election campaign. In the future, Lu Xiuyan needs someone to win Taichung (Jiang Qichen), a popular king who can support her and bring crowds of people (Kuo Yu), and good friends from local princes to help (Chiang Wanan, Zhang Shanzheng, eight counties and cities in Central Taiwan) , Lu Xiuyan’s layout is stable, deep, and far-reaching.
On January 22, KMT Taipei City Councilor Qin Huizhu predicted in an interview that Lu Xiuyan will participate in the war on behalf of the KMT in 2028. Guo Zhengliang said: Although it is still early to talk about 2028, Lu Xiuyan is very smart and handles interpersonal relationships very well. She has good political connections and is good at all kinds of social relations.
Judging from the current situation, Lu Xiuyan is very likely to represent the blue camp in 2028, but there is still a variable in the middle, and that is the island's 2026 "nine-in-one" election. Lu Xiuyan needs to play a very important supporting role in this election, especially to ensure the smooth handover of Taichung City. In 2006, Ma Ying-jeou successfully handed over the baton to Hao Longbin in Taipei City, thus continuing his popularity, and finally successfully obtained the KMT nomination; in 2022, Zheng Wencan failed to hand over the baton in Taoyuan, and finally lost the confidence to compete with Lai Qingde for the nomination in the 2023 party primary election. Therefore, what Lu Xiuyan needs to face is whether she can successfully hand over the baton in the "nine-in-one" election two years later.
2024 The day after the election, Guo Zhengliang once said this: Although Lai Qingde broke the record and allowed the DPP to continue its eight-year rule, Lai Qingde may also set another record, that is, he can only serve for four years.
