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What is the possibility of salary increase in 2023? This is a thought-provoking question. First of all, we review the standards and timing of salary increases in the past three years, and we comprehensively judge the possibility of salary increases in 2023.
2020 is a year when we have not raised wages, including civil servants and public institutions . Although wages have been raised in 2021, the average salary increase is about 400 yuan. In 2022, the average salary increase of provincial government agencies and institutions is about 300 yuan. Of course it's a wage increase.
What is the possibility of salary increase in 2023? The current analytical possibilities are as follows.
The first possibility is that the standard of salary increase every two years is unlikely to be adjusted in 2023.
The window period for salary increase is generally adjusted every two years, and adjustments are made in even-numbered years. Generally speaking, the order of adjustments is 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024. Therefore, 2023 is used as the base, and it is unlikely to adjust the wage standard. In addition, after December 2022, the economy has just recovered and recovered, and there is no ability to adjust the minimum wage standard in time. Solving the current problem of performance-based wages that have not been paid is the top priority, and it is also the most important guarantee content for the reform of the salary system in 2023.
The second possibility is that teacher salaries will continue to grow in 2023.
No matter how poor you are, you can’t be poor. If you don’t raise wages, you should also raise teachers’ wages. Therefore, in 2023, teachers’ wages will continue to increase slightly. Implement a joint adjustment mechanism with the salaries of civil servants, and make appropriate increases with reference to the comprehensive income level of local enterprises. According to my personal point of view, in 2023, the average salary of teachers will be raised. The salary will mainly solve the standard formulation of allowances and subsidies, the implementation of the salary standard in the 13th month, and the average monthly increase of about 400 yuan per person in terms of welfare benefits.
The third possibility is that pensions for retirees may usher in 19 consecutive increases in 2023.
The pension may rise for the 19th consecutive adjustment in 2023. It is very likely, but its proportion should be maintained at around 1% to 2%. Not surprisingly, the highest proportion of the national plan may still be the highest limit of 4%. But in fact, the local government only has the ability to adjust 1% to 2%. So there are similarities with the 2022 pension adjustment. However, in general, the pension benefits of retirees still show an upward trend in 2023, and this general direction is already clear.
The fourth possibility, enterprise annuity coverage may further improve pension benefits.
The most important core content of improving pension benefits in 2023 is to increase the coverage rate of enterprise annuity. The most important social security issue is the artisan issue in a big country. The reason why the coverage rate of enterprise annuity is not high is that enterprise annuity is not mandatory, and there is no occupational annuity mandatory, so the enthusiasm for purchasing enterprise annuity is not high. This is a common problem. With the influence of enterprise annuity on the treatment of enterprise retirees Increasingly, enterprise employees are increasingly eager to purchase enterprise annuities as supplementary endowment insurance.
The fifth possibility is that during the ten-year transition period, the retired people will enter the final stage.
Retired middle-aged people will usher in a high pension replacement rate of 90% for excessive pensions in 2023. In other words, the excessive pension will reach the standard of 90% in 2023. Assuming that our pension base is 5,000 yuan, the excessive pension will reach the highest standard of 90450%. In theory, the retirement pension in 2023 is higher than the retirement pension in 2022, and the retirement pension in 2024 is higher than the pension in 2023. After October 2024, there will be new measures for newcomers, and the transitional pension will be cancelled, and the pension will be temporarily stable.
6th possibility,There is a lot of room for the old age allowance to rise.
Old-age allowance is still the core content of improving the benefits of retired employees and the important happiness index of the elderly. Therefore, the old-age allowance for those over 70 years old is expected to be greatly improved and adjusted in 2023, especially for those over 100 years old. Their old-age allowance, on the basis of the national overall minimum of not less than 300 yuan in the past, may usher in a standard adjustment of around 500 yuan or 600 yuan if it achieves a double increase. Because Gaoling has become retirees today. To solve the fairness problem, the most important thing is to narrow the gap, narrow the support gap, and narrow the gap between retirees in the industry. Important promotion content.
The seventh possibility is that the possibility of salary increase in 2023 is mainly to solve the problem of fairness.
The adjustment strategy of postponing retirement and limiting the high and low pensions allows us to continue to increase the proportion of linked adjustments on the basis of regular adjustments and quota adjustments, and constantly emphasize the proportion of appropriate inclinations. Another important core content of the pension adjustment in 2023 is to expand the base of the middle-income group and promote common prosperity. This is the future salary system and pension adjustment system, and the common characteristics and tasks are also missions.
The eighth possibility, the wage increase in 2023 is mainly to solve the problem of promoting common prosperity.
In the past, we said that it is allowed to give some people first, that is to say, the mutual order of getting rich is allowed to be different, but those who get rich first must drive those who get rich later, and finally achieve common prosperity. In September 2021, our pension investment contracts totaled 1.25 trillion yuan, of which 1.1 trillion yuan has actually been received.
In other words, our pension adjustment will have sufficient funds and guarantees to promote the implementation of the concept of common prosperity, and the adjustment of the salary standard of in-service personnel will still follow this correct direction in 2023, insisting on promoting common prosperity and insisting on restricting The high-income group insists on supporting the high- and low-income group and insists on stabilizing the size of the middle-income group, and the base continues to increase.
The ninth possibility is that the wage increase in 2023 is mainly to solve the third wealth redistribution problem.
The third redistribution of wealth needs to solve how those who did not seize the opportunity to get rich during the first redistribution of wealth, and how to achieve wealth for those who still did not get rich during the second wave of business, how do free people get rich in the third wave of wealth redistribution? Realize the freedom of wealth in the redistribution of wealth, achieve common prosperity, and achieve prosperity. This requires the establishment of a complete salary system in 2023, reflecting a scientific distribution mechanism, especially the reasonable distribution of corporate salary.
The tenth possibility, rural areas, agriculture, and farmers will usher in a substantial increase in income.
With the implementation of new rural construction and rural revitalization, if we want to get rich, we must first build roads, so villages and towns will realize the standards of third-class roads, and fourth-class roads in the future, with direct access and express delivery to every village. Therefore, we can see that in 2023, the fastest growing wage income will be in the rural areas, and the fastest growing fortunes will be farmers, all of which rely on the big stage of agriculture for development. Allowing the rich first does not mean getting rich at the same time, so eating from the big pot and egalitarianism are still the first things that should be avoided in the reform of the salary system.
Closer to home, echoing from beginning to end, let's go back and solve the problem of the title. How likely is it that we will increase our salary in 2023? To sum up, I think that the wage adjustment in 2023 will still advance steadily, but it cannot be a large-scale overall wage increase. Big steps will play a more important guiding role in promoting rural revitalization.
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