has been fighting for almost a year, can the Ukrainian war end in 2023?
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has lasted for more than 10 months. By the end of the year, almost everyone who pays attention to this war will predict whether it will end next year.
Browsing the media and many experts on the Internet have made predictions about this war, in all aspects, and in almost every situation. In a word, water does not leak, no matter what the trend of in 2023, there is always a suitable one.
Personally, I think that such comprehensiveness can allow readers to fully understand the situation of the war. But it is precisely because it covers everything, so for those who want to know the result, it is equivalent to saying nothing.
Individuals might as well make a bold prediction that this war will not stop next year, and after next year it will be the end of next year.
First of all, there is no possibility of negotiation between Russia and Ukraine. Their respective demands are too different, and there is no basis for negotiation and negotiation. Therefore, it is impossible to negotiate a truce at least next year. Because Russia's war reserves will last until next year, and with the blood transfusion of NATO and , it is impossible for the Ukrainian army to be wiped out next year, and it will be no problem to fight for another year.
Secondly, neither Russia nor Ukraine will be able to overwhelmingly defeat one side in the next year. Judging from the current war, it is a conventional war. Russia has a quantitative advantage, and Ukraine has a quality advantage. Quantity advantage or quality advantage wins, and the hole card will not come out until the end. Judging from Russia's statement, the chances of nuclear war and will also be zero next year. Therefore, the 2023 war cannot be stopped.
Thirdly, although NATO’s support for Ukraine has been bad-mouthed online, there are two countries that should be paid attention to. Britain's policy of legal balance and the determination of the United States to dismember Russia.
Therefore, my most direct guess is that the conflict will not stop next year, but the battle situation will definitely change. Ukraine will gain a comparative advantage in Russia's domestic conflicts and conflicts within the Russian military system, and will once again take back some of its territory. But it is impossible to include all of Crimea , because in this way Putin cannot explain to the country. The hard fight between the two sides will continue throughout 2023.
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