mentions the word diplomacy, most people will think of handsome diplomats in suits and ties. They come and go on international political occasions, and they use their superb political conversation skills to achieve the goal of fighting for their own interests. But in fact, military means are also an integral part of diplomacy, and war can basically be regarded as the least efficient form of diplomacy. Conversely, when a country declares or admits that it is in a state of war, no matter whether it initiates the war or is involved in the war, it means that the other diplomatic means of the country have basically come to a dead end. The riskiest and most costly way to solve problems is war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a press conference
Specifically, in terms of the 10-month conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin finally admitted that the military collision between Russia and Ukraine is a war. According to The Paper reported that Putin publicly used the word "war" for the first time at a press conference. He said that Russia's goal is not to turn the flywheel of military conflict, but to end this "war". From the "special military operation" against Ukraine to the "Russia-Ukraine War", the seemingly simple change in name actually hides an extremely important meaning.
Russia banned the use of "war" to describe the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before.
Many people may not know it. For a long time after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the word "war" was used to describe the war in Russia. In fact, is an illegal act. Putin has deliberately signed a decree to make the use of "misleading terms" a criminal offense. According to the Russian Federation Constitution, people involved in this crime can be sentenced to up to 15 years in prison.
Russia-Uzbekistan conflict has evolved into a "proxy war"
It is not difficult to find that the Putin government initially judged the scale and duration of the war quite conservatively, believing that it is likely to be a "quick victory" It will not develop to the level of "war", so it is enough to characterize it in the name of "special military operations". There are at least two advantages to doing so. One is to reduce the outside world’s doubts about Russia in terms of public opinion and morality; and exodus. However, it now appears that the 10-month-long war has already evolved into a "proxy war" between Russia and the Western world, and the scale and intensity of the war is no longer a simple "special military operation."
Russia may have entered a state of war
Since Putin, the Russian president, admits that this is a war, it may mean to a considerable extent that Russia will give up its long-standing ambiguous attitude of "still holding the pipa half-hidden". In turn, the country will be transferred to a state of war, and it may even start a "total war". You must know that when a country enters a state of war, the central government has the right to concentrate all available human, material and financial resources in the country according to law, and allocate and use them according to the needs of the war.
The Russian army enlists new recruits
Especially on key conscription issues, countries in wartime conditions are likely to relax the age limit for enlistment, such as increasing the maximum age limit and lowering the minimum age limit for enlisted personnel, and increasing the recruitment scale of female soldiers . Active-duty soldiers who are on leave must immediately end their leave unconditionally and return to the unit to report as quickly as possible. Reservists need to be prepared to return to service, and those who have registered for the reserve service also need to be prepared to do the same.
The Russian army’s approach to Ukraine has changed
As for the “total war”, it not only emphasizes the comprehensive use of all the power of the country to carry out the war, but also highlights the “total destruction” of the hostile country, such as destroying the other’s economy, attacking Light and heavy industry production capacity , attack various military and civilian infrastructure, seize resources of other countries, and even include some civilian areas in the scope of attack. Not only that, but on all kinds of "battlefields where gunpowder cannot be seen", we must also achieve a comprehensive confrontation with the enemy's diplomacy, psychology, technology, and culture. It can be said that this concept is very close to the "hybrid warfare" proposed by the United States in recent years.
Ukraine has experienced power cuts and water cuts.
Judging from Russia’s domestic policies and the Russian military’s recent tactics, the Putin government may be very close to launching a “total war.” Thousands of reservists participated in the war, increasing resources in the military industryTilting and increasing the scale of arms production, attacking various types of civilian infrastructure in Ukraine...etc. It can be said that these are means for the real war.
Ukraine may be erased from the map
If you think about it with this logic, since Putin has finally admitted that a war broke out between Russia and Ukraine, then the current goal of the Russian government may be far from the original goal , that is, no longer just satisfied with the "de-militarization" and "de-Nazification" of Ukraine, but to "completely defeat the country of Ukraine." As for the so-called "total defeat", it usually includes the following methods, such as the complete occupation of the enemy's country, the complete annihilation of the enemy's army, the complete dismemberment of the enemy's territory, and even making the future world map no longer have such one country.
Russia may start the decisive battle mode
for 10 months, Putin seems to have finally made a new judgment and made up his mind for it. The Russia-Ukraine war may usher in a new stage. In the future, it cannot be ruled out that Russia will "put all its power into one battle" and launch a large-scale battle that can determine the outcome of the war and the survival of Ukraine. I don't know if there will be "black swan" incidents on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield in the coming 2023.
