This year's three National Day gift films have attracted much attention, and will become the three main players in the box office of this year's National Day. Many netizens predicted that after the film was pre-sold and pre-screened, Maoyan finally released its box office forecast The highest in this prediction is "Me and My Motherland" with 3.517 billion, the second is "Captain China" with 2.082 billion, and the third is "The Climber" with a box office of 1.403 billion.
Netizens who know Maoyan’s box office forecasts know that the forecasts before the movie’s release are often inaccurate. This data will also change with the box office changes after the movie is released. The box office forecasts of some movies are too ideal, such as "Shanghai Fortress". The box office forecast at the sales stage was very high, and it continued to decrease after the release. The box office forecast data of "Wandering Earth" and "Nezha" kept refreshing their heights.
However, this forecast is objective based on various data at the current stage. Let's analyze the box office of these three movies.
"My Motherland and Me" is the lowest box office, but this movie has excellent data in all aspects, and it is very likely to reach 3.5 billion box office. The cast and director lineup of "My Motherland and Me" is unprecedentedly strong, which is a great strength of the movie. The subject matter is in line with the main theme of the National Day file, which can easily cause word-of-mouth effects. The material promotion, Weibo index, and WeChat index of this movie are all very high. The pre-sale box office is the highest, and the click-through attendance rate is the highest. From these aspects, the box office of 3.5 billion is still very reliable.
The movie "Captain of China" may not have many netizens predicting that it will explode at the beginning, and many netizens would not think that the box office will exceed "The Climber" before it was released, but after the movie was released, the word-of-mouth was good, and the film was based on truth. The story of the hero, the highly restored plot and the luxurious cast, the topic is not low, the pre-sale box office has surpassed the "Climber", the box office is not low, the box office of more than 2 billion may be conservative. The most surprising thing about
is "The Climber". This movie was generally favored during the promotional period. Wu Jing has a big box office appeal and other actors are also acting. The subject matter of the movie is novel and easy to publish, and the topic of the movie is not low. However, word of mouth became controversial after the movie was screened ahead of time. There were many bad reviews on the Internet and the movie box office ranked third. The decline in performance has also added a lot of haze to the box office of the film. From all aspects of the data, the box office of 1.4 billion is not low, and the data changes after the film is released may be more pessimistic.
Judging from the changes in box office forecasts, the total box office of this year's National Day stalls is much higher than in previous years. The box office is still determined by movie word of mouth. What do you think should be the box office of these three movies?
