After former US President Trump was shot at a campaign rally, the US election has become more uncertain. Trump may be optimistic about the election. At this time, the World Bank released data showing that China's trade surplus ranks first in the world. , it was under this circumstance that Trump, who pursues "America First", took advantage of the situation to reveal his China policy, which posed a hidden crisis for China.
According to Observer.com, Trump, who was shot recently, revealed in an interview with the media that he has begun to rewrite the speech of the Republican Party at the National Convention and will call for "national unity" instead of focusing on Biden. Combined with the fact that Trump has just experienced the attack, he is now publicly calling for "unity" and downplaying the competition with Biden. This is enough to show that Trump's probability of winning may be greatly improved after being shot. After all, this is He is expected to attract some "sympathy votes" afterwards, so judging from the current situation, Trump has a high chance of taking office.
It should be noted that the latest party platform of the US Republican Party has been exposed at this stage, and this party platform is a programmatic policy document for the party’s presidential candidate, Trump, regarding his campaign and subsequent policy principles, because it is not If something goes wrong, Trump will give a speech on July 18 to accept the nomination of the Republican presidential candidate. Judging from the draft released by the Republican Party, it mainly involves two major aspects: domestic people's livelihood and foreign policy. Among them, China policy is a major highlight of this party platform.
As we all know, Trump’s repeated emphasis on “America First” has long run through his diplomatic philosophy, especially in his China policy. When Trump was in office, he imposed a 10% tariff on US$300 billion worth of Chinese imports. At the same time, Trump also promised that if he takes office again, he will cancel China's status as the "most favored nation" in trade and impose tariffs on all Chinese imports. Goods are subject to a 60% tariff.
It can be seen that the "America First" policy pursued by Trump is now more obvious in the economic and trade field. Compared with the Republican Party's advocacy of a certain degree of free trade in the 2016 party platform, Trump now clearly states in the latest party platform, It will eliminate its economic and trade "dependence" on China, reduce the options for importing necessities from China, and once again reiterate the cancellation of "most favored nation" treatment for China. In addition, the Republican party platform will formulate relevant measures to prevent Chinese cars from entering the US market. In short, the U.S. government will significantly reduce imports of Chinese goods, and on this basis, it will also impose high tariffs.
When Trump’s China policy was exposed, the World Bank released data showing that China ranked first in the world with a trade surplus of US$594 billion, while the United States ranked first among countries with foreign trade deficits. It is foreseeable that after learning this data, Trump may become more determined to pursue the "America First" foreign policy, whether it is reducing imports of Chinese goods after taking office or imposing high tariffs on China. All will affect China's relevant interests. Once the United States imposes more economic and trade sanctions on China, Sino-US cooperation in related fields will definitely be negatively affected.
Therefore, some of the current turmoil in the US election is closely related to Sino-US relations, especially the China policies advocated by the candidates, which will have an impact on future exchanges between China and the United States in various fields. At this stage, the U.S. election situation has a tendency to favor Trump. Combined with his exposed China policy, we need to be vigilant. For example, in the economic and trade field, Trump has already taken action on Chinese goods, which indicates that he will When he comes to power, he may first adopt a tough trade policy towards China. With these lessons learned, China has to be careful and prepare in advance to make Trump's plan fail.
