Ukrainian President Zelensky has become a new hot topic. He said at the Davos Economic Forum in Switzerland that Ukraine will receive good news about missiles, artillery shells and drone reinforcements. Ukraine will not accept a freeze on the conflict and will definitely fight Russia. Zelensky's important aide and director of the Ukrainian President's Office Yermak is very confident. He said that Ukraine is winning this war because after two years of war, Ukraine is still alive.
Why is Zelensky suddenly so confident? The matter also started with British Prime Minister Sunak's visit to Kiev last week. According to reports from Xinhuanet, Global Network and other media, Sunak signed a ten-year agreement with Zelensky during his trip. The Security Cooperation Agreement promises that the UK will continue to provide assistance to Ukraine within a specified period of time from the date of signing of the agreement.
In this security cooperation agreement, the UK has made important commitments in three aspects. First, it will provide Ukraine with all-round assistance in "defending and fully restoring its territory." The second is to prevent the escalation of military operations and contain possible "new aggression" by Russia. The third is to help Ukraine gradually join various European transatlantic institutions, such as NATO, in the future by supporting reforms in Ukraine.
How should these three commitments be evaluated? To use a British famous saying, is the Sunak government and will provide Ukraine with all support except practical help. In fact, the United Kingdom jumped out immediately after the United States publicly announced the end of the aid project to Ukraine. This timing is very interesting. This is a bit like the United States insisting on involving the United Kingdom in air strikes on military facilities of the Houthi armed forces, purely out of cost sharing considerations.
In March 2022, one month after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out, under the mediation of Turkish President Erdogan, the two sides were once very close to reaching a peace agreement. At that time, Zelensky fully accepted all Russia's conditions and had proposed that the international community should supervise the implementation of the agreement. However, following an order from the White House and then-British Prime Minister Johnson's surprise visit to Kiev, the peace agreement was immediately halted.
From this perspective, the reason why Russia and Ukraine have been fighting for so long is because of the mines laid by the United Kingdom and the United States. Now that the United States has no money in its pocket, it is natural for Britain to take the lead. But the question is, how much help can the UK provide to Ukraine? In other words, what kind of help does the United States and the West have that Ukraine does not enjoy?
Judging from the text of the agreement announced by the British government, at the military level, the UK will help Ukraine improve its capabilities in "key areas" such as air defense, long-range artillery, armored vehicles, and combat aviation. At the same time, they will help the Kiev regime realize British equipment Maintenance and upgrade of localization transformation. The other thing is that the UK will continue to provide economic and military assistance to Ukraine, basically taking over the US's hand. Of course, the UK can't come up with any more high-tech weapons and equipment. It is nothing more than taking money from the US and becoming the Sunak government. Pay money.
The key part is to help the Kiev regime achieve local maintenance and transformation of Western weapons and equipment. Regarding this, Germany has also had relevant plans before, saying that it is willing to help the Zelenskiy regime build "Leopard 2" tanks in Ukraine. maintenance factory. However, this matter has been out in Germany for several months and has not been moved forward. In fact, if you think about it briefly, you know that this matter is not very reliable. The Russian army bombed the whole of Ukraine every three days. Due to the intensity of the border crossing, the factory was probably wiped out by several waves of missile and drone air strikes by the Russian military before it was even completed.
Perhaps the UK has some extraordinary methods in this regard, and we can continue to observe. However, some other clauses in the agreement are purely for fun. For example, there is a provision that if Ukraine is attacked by Russia in a new round, the UK will discuss countermeasures with Ukraine within 24 hours.But with Britain’s current military strength, they are neither capable of making a direct military response to Russia, nor are they able to protect Ukraine from attacks through military means. What is the point of discussing countermeasures?
Some military experts explained that in order to implement its commitment, the UK may also send troops to participate in the war. When a Russian missile hits the head of a British soldier, it will trigger NATO's "mutual defense clause." In this regard, Medvedev, the deputy chairman of the Russian Federation Security Council, made the ugly remarks. He said that the United Kingdom dared to station troops in Ukraine. would be considered a declaration of war against Russia. Britain will certainly not be able to pretend not to hear what the Russian "War Bear" is saying. It is estimated that in the end, Britain will only send some advisory groups to the Ukrainian military to serve as senior advisors as before.
Speaking of Britain's military strength, a new joke material has been added in the past few days. Didn’t we mention earlier that the US air strikes on military facilities of the Houthi armed forces were specifically designed to attract the UK to build momentum? As a result, relevant confidential information appeared in the British media before the operation began. The Pentagon was immediately furious, scolding Britain for leaking intelligence, and claimed that the "special relationship" between the two countries was facing a huge test. As for the British, although they admitted that they had leaked intelligence, they argued that it did not affect the bombing operation, and at the same time said that we did not know how it happened.
The former "Empire on which the Sun Never Sets" and the world's hegemon had this level of military power. In fact, the UK has always been quite good at intelligence leaks. In June 2021, top-secret documents from the British Ministry of Defense were discovered on a bus stop. In September, the top-secret handling plan for the Queen's death was exposed by the media. In April last year, Biden When visiting Ireland, the British police department left security documents in the middle of the road. believes that Britain can keep military secrets, and it is better to believe that Ukraine can counterattack to the Red Square in Moscow.
So, Sunak made a special trip to Kiev to sign the security cooperation agreement with Zelensky. Its symbolic significance is far greater than its actual effect. The top priority of the agreement is actually only one, which is signed by the British The government has spent 2.5 billion pounds to maintain the "existence" of Zelensky's regime. As for whether the Russian army will launch a larger-scale attack in the future, and whether Ukraine will be completely defeated and has already "exhausted" the United States. The UK, which has taken responsibility, cannot control that much.
