How should the consumption stimulus policy be supplemented? Can the problem be solved by just discovering gold?
This year’s Central Economic Work Conference mentioned that “the expansion and recovery of consumption should be given priority”, explaining that the focus of economic work next year will be consumption. Why should the recovery of consumption be given priority at this time? When the economy is at a critical time, we must give full play to the consumption potential of 1.4 billion people, and let the consumption-led economic growth model contribute to our country's economic take-off.
In the past, we have not been able to pay too much attention to the drive of consumption to the economy. The main reason is that our growth model is represented by exports. Exports can basically meet the production of enterprises, making our country’s economy develop steadily and healthily. However, after three years of epidemics , the global pattern has undergone tremendous changes. The most obvious feature is the decline in demand, and the decline in global demand. There are reasons for global economic recession, as well as our own reasons for losing orders due to abnormal production due to the epidemic. Under the current situation of unsatisfactory exports, it is the result of various reasons, and the recovery of exports must take time. In this case, the most urgent task of relieving economic pressure is consumption alone.
How should the consumption stimulus policy be supplemented? Can the problem be solved by just discovering gold?
When it comes to consumption incentives, you often hear the most simple voice of experts, that is, to send money. Everyone thinks that only when gold is found, people will be free to spend, but if gold is really found, some people will change hands and save it. Let’s get up, what to do if you don’t spend money, don’t think it’s a joke, it’s true sometimes, a lot of people don’t spend money after receiving cash, why don’t people spend money after receiving cash, the reason is very simple, lack of money Ah, so don't consume.
Therefore, there are also disadvantages in only finding gold. The original intention of consumption stimulation is to encourage those groups who already have a strong desire to consume through subsidies to encourage them to consume in advance. For example, some people lack an oven at home. There is a high probability that I will not buy it on weekdays. If there is a subsidy at this time, if an oven can be subsidized by 100 yuan for 500 yuan, there is a high probability that it will reach the point of stimulating consumption. I think this is the establishment of a consumption scene.
The consumption stimulus policy must be based on the strong demand of the market. Only by adding subsidies at this time can the ultimate goal of consumption stimulation be achieved. In this way, it is necessary to analyze which consumption is the most popular at the moment, and which consumption can bring positive significance to employment. While stimulating consumption, we must also consider the demand for employment. I think the two are two-way and can stimulate employment. Employment consumption, of course, will react to the expansion of the consumption scene in retrospect, and the two complement each other.
So I think the stimulation of consumption must choose the current most mainstream consumption method. At this time, the money will not be wasted, and will be spent wisely. For example, new energy vehicles and are currently more popular. Buying a new energy vehicle How much consumption can be rewarded by the car? This consumption is not directly given to the owner of the car. You can use this coupon to buy small appliances. Many people are a little hesitant about the consumption of new energy vehicles. They can spend it or not. Consumption, but if there is a consumption stimulus, the probability of consumption is estimated to be high.
This makes it easier to understand. It is not necessary to find gold to stimulate consumption. The key is to set up the consumption scene and stimulate just right, so as to achieve twice the result with half the effort.