The "Climber", which will be released on the National Day file this year, is a film that became popular before it was released. The most eye-catching part of the film is this powerful cast. The all-powerful and acting players depend on this lineup. It is impossible for the film not to be popular, so the box office forecast for the film is also higher than the wave, 4 billion? 50? Enter the top three at the domestic box office and so on, but judging from this schedule, it is impossible to exceed 4 billion at the box office.
Why can't the box office of "Climber" exceed 4 billion?
Let’s analyze from a set of data. From 2014 to the present, among all the domestic films released in the National Day archives, the highest box office is "The Shameful Iron Fist" released in 2017, with a box office score of 2.213 billion, which is also the National Day file. The only film in the box office with a box office of more than 2 billion, and the rest are films with a box office of less than 1.5 billion. This shows the overall box office performance of the films released on the National Day file.
The film's release schedule determines the film's box office performance.
As we all know, popular or powerful blockbusters will gather in the Spring Festival and summer files, because only these two periods are the most golden periods of the film in order to have a high box office. There are a total of three domestic movies with a box office of over 4 billion, namely "Wolf Warriors 2", "Nezha's Devil Boy" and "Wandering Earth". The champion and runner-up are released in the summer file, and the third runner-up is in the Spring Festival. There are a total of 7 domestically produced movies with a box office of over 3 billion, and the top ten domestically produced movies, without exception, all come from the Spring Festival and summer seasons.
It is impossible for "The Climber" to get 4 billion box office in the National Day file. It can be seen how important it is to choose the film schedule. If you choose to release it in the Spring Festival file and the summer file, this film will rely on it. This cast will have a box office guarantee of more than 3 billion, and it is not a big problem to exceed 4 billion. However, it is not possible to achieve this result when it is released on the National Day file. This year, the National Day holiday will be on the 7th. During the holiday, the box office of "The Climber" will be soaring, but once the holiday is over, the box office will become a roller coaster.
"Me and My Motherland" and "Captain of China" are also the biggest box office competitors of "The Climber"
This year's National Day films are destined to be extraordinary, with "The Climber" and "Me and My Motherland" The troika headed by "Captain China" is destined to stage a bloody box office battle. Although "The Climber" has greater expectations and influence than the other two films, these two films should not be underestimated. Yes, it will more or less affect the number of film sequences in major theaters, and the reduction in the number of film sequences in theaters will also directly affect the box office results of "The Climber".
If "The Climber" stands out in the National Day stall and has no competitors, it will definitely achieve very good box office results, but unfortunately things are contrary to expectations. There will be two competitors appearing in the National Day stall this year to share the box office cake of the National Day stall. So "The Climber" box office is unlikely to pass the 4 billion mark.
summary
For a movie, if you want a high box office, the production level of the movie itself is one aspect, and the right time and location also need to be considered. Just like the "Nezha" released in the summer file this year, if you choose the Mid-Autumn Festival or National Day file If it is released, it can be clearly said that the box office will not be so high, and it is in the absence of competition.
As for the films released in the National Day file, it can be seen from the big data that only one film released in the National Day file has a box office of more than 2 billion. For "The Climber", a box office of more than 2.3 billion can refresh the National Day. The box office record dominates the National Day file and outsmarts the crowd. However, for "The Climber", it is a bit difficult for the box office to exceed 3 billion. After all, this year's National Day file is not only about this film. The strength of the other two films released in this year's National Day file should not be underestimated. It is impossible to stand alone. Therefore, it is impossible for "Climber" to exceed 4 billion at the box office. Many factors restrict its box office performance.
is happiest than the audience, because this year's National Day file has many good hits, and the audience is feasting their eyes.
