- This is the 55 article of wenshan -
author | Wenshan
Luck is the biggest variable in everyone's life.
The Wuhan people who were happily preparing for the Chinese New Year had to announce the closure of the city because of the virus; Kobe, who was still tweeting a few hours ago to bless James to refresh the history list, suddenly left the world.
Although a person's fate is related to self-struggle, it can't get rid of the influence of luck that is not controlled by others.
Under the wheel of fortune, we seem to have no idea which of good luck and bad luck comes first.
01
What is luck? The
textbook-style argument is: there is no purpose, unpredictable and uncontrollable force that makes an individual, group or event change for the better and worse. It is an event that affects a person's life and seems to be unaffected by others. To put it simply, luck is a random uncontrollable force. It seems that
cannot be traced quantitatively, and it seems that it can be expressed vaguely, because it can be characterized in probability.
If you use probability to describe luck, it is like wrapping a statue with a skin, you can see its outline and curves, but you can't see the details.
Therefore, can only use thick lines to try to trace luck with probability. The good things that can happen with low probability of
are called good luck. For example:
Kobe entered the NBA and grew into a superstar, won 5 championship trophies in his basketball career, ranked fourth in NBA history and scored 81 points per game. The probability that things happen to a basketball player at the same time is not higher than one in a million, but it happened to Kobe. The low probability of
is called bad luck. For example, the accident rate of
civilian helicopters per 100,000 flying hours is 8.09 (of which fatal accidents are 1.48), which is also a very small probability, this probability is even less than one The probability of an American boy becoming president, Kobe ran into it.
You see, good luck and bad luck actually mean things with a very low probability of occurrence, and bad luck and good luck are both "hard to happen".
Therefore, we can describe luck probabilistically like this: is the uncontrollable force that promotes the occurrence of very low probability events.
is just that when the goddess of fate turns the roulette mercilessly, no matter who the luck falls on, whether it is good or bad for people, she only pays attention to the probability of this happening.
Therefore, Kobe, who is admired and admired by the world, could not escape bad luck, and people who did nothing wrong may also encounter the low probability of SRIA.
Life is a great miracle, but how you live depends on the face of luck.
02
How much does luck affect us?
Wan Weigang said: success = talent + hard work + luck. I don't think
, the formula should be: achievement = (talent + hard work) * luck.
1. Luck achievement pays every time
If the above formula is used in a scenario, it is like this in a success: one achievement = (talent + effort) * one luck.
luck is the amplifier of talent and hard work this time. It can be positive or negative, corresponding to what we usually call good luck and bad luck.
Good luck can make the final success, bad luck may make all efforts go to nothing. An example is given in
"Success and Luck".
"The Godfather" starring Al Pacino has acted in countless good films, and people today may think that he is the best actor born.
Pacino can get the role of godfather, entirely because of luck.
First, Pacino was just an unknown third-line actor; second, the producer wanted to choose a famous role to play Mike, but the director Coppola had to use a newcomer;
third, itsShikoppola himself is a newcomer, a young director in his thirties, who dared to challenge the producer like this, and he succeeded, really too few;
fourth, the producer chose a few The famous characters are not in the schedule, so they have to compromise; fifth, the director wants to find a new person who looks like a Sicilian, Pacino is just right;
sixth, Mike's score in the original work is not so important, but the director changed the script. Let Pacino almost become the star of the whole film. It can be said that without these blessings of luck, Pacino would not have a relationship with "The Godfather", and Pacino would not achieve what it is today.
2. The result of the iteration of luck determines the end result
a person cannot have good luck or bad luck in a lifetime.
So when we zoom in on the whole life, the formula for success is this: life achievement = (talent + hard work) * the sum of life's luck.
Bryant has had a lot of good luck in his life:
did not go to college and entered the NBA directly, so that when he was about 26 years of golden age, his skills and experience were the best;
when the Lakers chose one of O'Neal and Kobe , The management chose the young man as the core of the future;
before he won five championships, his body has not suffered subversive injuries, and his body can still survive.
also has many bad luck:
broken finger, dislocated shoulder, marital crisis, Achilles tendon rupture, nasal bone fracture, 90-degree fracture of ankle, public opinion violence, body crash...
If good luck is matched with a positive number, bad luck is matched with a negative number. , The effects of luck can cancel each other out, and the final result determines the height of life.
For example, if a person is born with a catastrophe, there is almost no life achievement, and although Kobe died young, but the accumulation of achievements in half of his life, many NBA stars can not match in their lifetime, although They are also full of talent.
Luck is the key to everyone's success every time, and it is also the most important factor in everyone's lifetime achievement.
Every great person is inseparable from luck.
03
How to get good luck?
Everyone's luck is different. Good or bad is almost beyond human control. Is there a way for us to "win" good luck?
has.
"Winning" good luck is not to completely change the ownership of luck. For most people, it is a luxury to be able to grasp it when good luck comes.
1. Struggle without luck
playing in the NBA relies more on physical talent. Height, wingspan, bounce, endurance, etc. are all factors that make the court winning. Kobe is not the most talented person. His height, wingspan, and jumping are not good enough. , But he is very cruel to himself.
Because he is very cruel to himself, good luck always seems to be with him:
can win the championship in the third year in the NBA, and it will last for 3 years;
openly challenged the team boss O’Neal, the coach supported him, and the ball The team management also "biased" him;
faced the defense of basketball god Jordan, still hit the key ball, and was "hailed" as Jordan's successor;
led the Lakers to the finals alone and made a lore in the finals. The Flash Wade, who is as famous as himself, won the championship.
How cruel is Kobe to himself? According to Kobe’s former teammate John Celestand:
“In a preseason game against the Wizards (NBA team), Kobe injured his right wrist. He was the first person to appear on the training ground every day, at least It’s an hour and a half early.
This makes me very uncomfortable, because I have been the first person to train in high school and college, and I live only 10 minutes away from the training ground, and Kobe lives at least 35 minutes. Driving."
"Although it is embarrassing to say that, I was actually a little happy after he was injured, because I knew he could not be the first person to train, and maybe even both.not coming. "
" When I approached the training ground, I heard the sound of dribbling, completely frightened, impossible! But Kobe is already sweating, his right hand is in a cast, and he is practicing dribbling and shooting with his left hand. "
Kobe is nicknamed the Black Mamba. Because of his extraordinary efforts and hard work, his spirit of "never give up and be born to win" is called the Mamba spirit.
This is also the Mamba spirit that many fans will like. The reason for Ba, the Mamba spirit not only explains the most beautiful appearance of basketball, but also explains how much the recognition of the goddess of luck can win after tapping out personal potential.
You see, good luck only favors those who have prepared brains, and opportunities are always favored. People who are ready, so the secret to win good luck lies in themselves.
Do not rely on good luck to struggle, the better luck is possible to get closer to you.
2. Try the luck of luck
zWhat is the luck of 5 luck? For example, if your dream is to be a powerful first mate who can earn enough money to support yourself and your family, in addition to competing with your brothers on a boat, you should also consider what route the boat is currently operating. .
It takes luck to compete with dozens of brothers on a ship. The chief mate needs luck, but more important than this luck is how much value the business operated on this route can bring to you.
beat luck luck is actually through reconfiguration Track, improve the probability of success.
I have a friend who used to work in a small company. He felt that his technology was very good. He fancied that he could produce something valuable through his own efforts, but he failed repeatedly. He thought it possible It's because of bad luck.
gradually felt that he should put himself in an advantageous place first. This is the first step in all efforts.
people should dig wells in places with abundant water sources, not in the desert. I am proud of it.
He moved to a better cloud computing company and honed in a more challenging environment. He is now able to take the lead.
facts have proved that the environment is a system, and a good system comes with more "Good luck", a bad platform is inherently lack of luck, even if you work hard, you rarely get the blessing of good luck.
You should understand that when
talks about this, 's so-called luck for luck is actually to equip yourself with success The basis for greater probability.
A college student wants to let luck on his side and find a beautiful girlfriend in college. In addition to his own efforts, it is easier to choose a school with a large number of girls.
A poor boy hopes that the university can To change one's fate, in addition to strengthening oneself in the university, it is more important to report a good major and choose a good school for the college entrance examination.
04
Summary
.
Good luck and bad luck are both low-probability events. On this level, they are the same. Therefore, the Goddess of Destiny never cared about people's feelings when turning the wheel.
In the face of the uncertainty of the wheel of fate, there are only two ways we can win good luck:
- One is that the work is done in the sky
The struggle that does not depend on good luck may be that every ordinary person wins good luck The only way, when you dare to ask yourself for the answer, good luck may come inadvertently.
- The other is the luck of a try
If success is a derivative function, then the first order is luck, and the second order is luck. The second-order guide of
is the basis of luck. If we can improve it, we will definitely increase the probability of final success.
For example, the same is to make money. It is far easier to succeed in making money in big cities than in poor mountainous areas.
Finally, I want to say that both good luck and bad luck are low-probability events. Good luck is possible, but bad luck is unavoidable.
After all things are impermanent, luck is king, no one knows about accidents and tomorrowWhich one will come first.
But I believe that is more important than uncertainty in that you believe in fate, believe in luck but not in luck, believe in probability, and dare to believe in probability.
