The price of pork that has been declining during this period has become a topic of heated discussion. When I went to the supermarket to buy something today, I obviously felt that there were more consumers at the meat stall than before the Spring Festival. The current price of pork here is 22 yuan per catty. Compared with previous years, the price is not cheap, but compared with before the Spring Festival, the price of pork has dropped by 10 yuan per catty.
According to the current rate of decline in pork prices, can pork prices return to the era of 13 yuan/jin?
The price of pork has been rising rapidly since the second half of last year. At the end of last year, the price of pork in many places had exceeded 30 yuan per catty, and many consumers said they could not afford pork. The main reason for the surge in pork prices is the impact of non-pest disease. The number of live pigs in my country has declined for a period of time. Last year, the lowest number of live pigs was the lowest value in ten years. So now the price of pork is rising, is it because the stock of live pigs in my country has recovered?
Since pork prices rose sharply last year, in order to promote the enthusiasm of farmers to raise pigs, many regions have introduced policies to encourage farmers. Stimulated by rising pork prices, the number of pigs in my country has been recovering. Despite this, the number of live pigs in my country is still much smaller than in previous years, so the decline in pork prices and the gradual recovery of live pigs are only a small part of the reason. The reason for the sharp drop in pork prices was due to the impact of the epidemic and the reduced demand for pork in the market.
The epidemic has been more than two months since the end of last year. Although the epidemic in my country is now in its final stage, due to the continuous increase in imported cases and asymptomatic cases, most of the catering industry in my country has not yet resumed business. Under the influence of the epidemic, almost all major colleges and universities have not resumed classes, which has led to a significant reduction in the demand for pork in the market, which has caused pork prices to fall all the way.
So can the price of pork return to the era of 13 yuan/jin? At present, the price of live pigs in most areas of our country has dropped to 16 yuan/jin-17 yuan/jin, and there is still a gap of 4 yuan from the 13 yuan era. Although the gap is shrinking, we must return to the 13 yuan era. It is not a simple matter. Because the stock of live pigs in our country is still insufficient, once the catering industry resumes business and the universities start school, once the demand for pork rises, pork prices will start to rise.
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