Financial Associated Press, September 11 (Editor Shi Zhengcheng) At 21:00 pm Eastern Time on Tuesday, which is 9:00 on Wednesday morning Beijing time, the US presidential election candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will hold their first meeting. “Face-to-face” debate. By t

Financial Associated Press, September 11th (Editor Shi Zhengcheng) At 21:00 pm Eastern Time on Tuesday, which is 9:00 am on Wednesday morning, Beijing time, the US presidential election candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will hold a meeting The first “face-to-face” debate.

By the way, this is also the first time in their lives that the two of them interact face to face. They could have shaken hands at Biden's inauguration in January 2021, but Trump chose to become the first former US president to skip his successor's inauguration since 1869.

Considering that it is less than eight weeks before the November 5 general election, and the polls between the two are extremely close, this will also be a contest that no one can afford to lose. Of course, the global market, which is closely related to the economic, diplomatic, and trade policies of the United States, cannot escape its involvement.

Basic information and rules for the debate

Similar to the debate in June when Trump defeated Biden, this debate hosted by the American Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) will also last 90 minutes.

According to ABC's disclosure, both parties agreed to continue to adopt the "closed microphone" rule-when the opponent speaks, the other party's microphone will be turned off. In terms of other rules, there is no audience at the venue, and no props or "cheat sheets" written in advance are allowed on the stage. For each question from the moderator, candidates will have two minutes to answer, two minutes to rebut, and an additional minute to respond, clarify or follow up.

(Debate venue, source: abc news)

It is reported that because Trump won the "online coin toss" beforehand, he chose to speak after Harris. Harris, for her part, chose a podium located on stage left (right side of the screen), meaning Trump would be on the left side of the screen.

By the way, according to axios report, Due to the height difference between the two, Harris' podium will be shorter than Trump's. The purpose is to make the two people's body proportions closer in the split screen of the debate live broadcast.

According to the schedule, their deputies Vance and Walz will hold a vice presidential candidate debate on October 1. It is unclear whether Trump and Harris will fight again in October.

Core focus: Can Trump “stay on topic”?

The whole world knows that Trump likes to "talk the talk", but considering that his opponent is a former prosecutor, Trump needs to stay focused during the 90-minute debate and concentrate on talking about policies, especially not to risk saying something Words that offend people.

Nikki Haley, who once competed with Trump for the position of Republican candidate, said on Monday that Trump does not need to attack Harris’s IQ. It is definitely not an accident that she has reached this point. Haley emphasized that Harris was once a prosecutor, and you don’t need to talk about intelligence or appearance, you just need to focus on policy. Republican women also get upset when you call a Democratic woman stupid.

As a moment for the major joke makers, 8-year-old Trump needs to beware of logical incoherence when debating with 59-year-old Harris (for specific circumstances, please refer to Biden last time). Once Trump reveals his flaws, Harris will return the sentence "He may not even know what he said."

How Harris maintains a line with Biden

Since taking over the campaign, Harris has tried to define herself as a symbol of "change" - drawing a line with the current Biden administration. Trump's strategy is to closely link the two. Since more of the deterioration in Americans' perception of the economy occurred during Biden's term, Trump has always been in a leading position on economic issues.

This also brings problems on two levels. First, Harris needs to distance herself from the Biden administration on policy details. For example, she proposed a smaller increase in the capital gains tax rate last week, which is much milder than Biden's proposal earlier this year.

But there will be another layer of obstacles here - Harris talked more about vision during the campaign, such as helping the middle class improve the cost of living, rather than detailed policy details . Her campaign believes that making a visionary connection with voters, such as "Harris worked at McDonald's," is more useful than providing policy details that could become attack fodder. Therefore, polls show that a quarter of voters say they do not understand Harris' policy positions and are unable to form a clear opinion.

On the other side, Trump's campaign said the former president would focus on repairing what he sees as "the failures of the Biden-Harris administration on the economy, border security and national security policies" if he returns to the White House.

The subtle impact of debates on the election

Generally speaking, as long as the candidates need to be supported off the stage by their family members after the debate, the US election debates are in many cases just a formality with "each saying his own thing".

But this time the situation is obviously different - as mentioned above, many voters do not know who Harris is at all, and more people are willing to observe how Harris fights against under the pressure of Trump.

At the same time, due to the media policy of the Democratic campaign camp, Harris rarely accepts exclusive interviews and always speaks from a teleprompter when speaking in public. Therefore, for Harris, it is really difficult to predict what kind of performance the former prosecutor can perform in a 90-minute unscripted speech broadcast nationally. It is reported that Harris has been staying in Pittsburgh to prepare since last Thursday, and the team specially created a simulated debate environment with lights on the stage.

The latest poll shows that the two people’s support rates in seven key battleground states are quite close. This also means that any boost or loss in support rates may subtly change the balance of the final outcome—and the next four. year’s global landscape.