Recently, everyone in the CBA team has been paying attention to the Liao-Guangdong battle. It can be said that this matchup has ignited the CBA's only traffic this season. I believe that even if either of these two teams enters the finals and plays Xinjiang, it will not be as popular. .
During this hottest period, the CBA quietly held the 2024 draft lottery as scheduled. As a result, the Shandong Men's Basketball Team won the No. 1 pick with an 8% probability, and Ningbo and Jiangsu won the second and third picks respectively. .
In the past, we would not write a special article on this kind of news. After all, the CBA draft has always given people an illusion, as if Beijing Enterprises wins the top pick every year....
This is indeed true, Beijing Enterprises In just 5 years, three top picks have been won: Wang Shaojie in 2019, Wang Lanyi in 2022, and Chen Guohao in 2023.
This year, Beijing Enterprises worked hard to get rid of the label of a bad team and entered the playoffs. According to the rules, they also missed the lottery draw this season.
Among the many teams that participated in the lottery this year, Shandong, which won the No. 1 pick, is considered a "rookie" player. As a veteran CBA team, Shandong last missed the playoffs in the 2014-15 season...
Due to the CBA lottery draw ( Determining the top three picks) was only added in 2020. This is also the first time in the history of the Shandong team to participate in the lottery draw, and they will win the No. 1 pick once they participate, and there is only an 8% probability.
It is said that in the lottery ceremony of the CBA draft, the team with the worst record is the first to send people to draw the number one pick. Sichuan has a 22% chance of being the first to take the stage, and the result is that it helps Shandong win...
If it is placed in the NBA, it is equivalent to the Pistons The executives of the two teams, the Wizards and the Wizards, went up to draw the No. 1 pick, but the Raptors won the lottery. The scene was quite comical.
remember that last year, when the Spurs won the No. 1 pick, they were determined to win the lottery in advance. After that, some crazy fans complained about the shady story, saying that the NBA deliberately let the old strong teams fail to win the lottery after one year. This year, Shandong won the lottery. Do any fans have any comments? Shady, backwater!
But all joking aside, the CBA has held 5 lottery draws, and only 2 of them were won by the team with the worst record that year, and neither the second-to-last nor the third-last team in history has ever won the No. 1 pick. Sign, the probability of this upset is quite high.
nba The Bulls have a 1.7% probability of winning the No. 1 pick. Compared to the CBA, your 8% probability is already quite high.
However, traditional CBA teams have never been too cold about the CBA draft. Except for Beijing Control, Tongxi, and Guangzhou, I feel that other teams have not considered serious selection. Last year, Ningbo won the No. 1 pick and used it to It is quite shocking that Beijing Control changed two bench players. (One of the players involved in the transaction, Wang Junjie, has become a big player in the team after joining Ningbo. This is a story later)
As a basketball giant that has reached the CBA finals and has a complete youth training system, will Shandong trade the No. 1 pick? It is also unknown, but the success rate of the CBA No. 1 pick in the past few years is still guaranteed, and there is a high probability that Shandong will not give up without trading.
Finally, everyone can boldly guess what the final outcome of the Liao-Guangdong War will be?
