Our special correspondent Chen Lifei Our reporter Wu Wei
Editor's note: The battle for Taiwan's "President and Vice President of the Legislative Yuan" ended on February 1. Han Kuo-yu and Jiang Qichen of the Kuomintang were finally elected. Then the Democratic Progressive Party and the People's Party revealed that they had conspired. In the "phone scandal" involving the exchange of votes, both sides held different opinions. This incident may be a microcosm of Taiwan's turbulent political scene in the future. In the next four years, Democratic Progressive Party-elect Lai Ching-te will face a situation of "a small government and a large opposition", while Han Kuo-yu will also face the situation of "three parties less than half" in the legislative body. How to deal with such a complex situation is a big test for Hanguo Yu.
Han Guoyu received nearly 70% satisfaction
After Hanguo Yu was elected as the "Legislative Yuan" on February 1, most public opinion on the island held a positive attitude toward him. Taiwan's Yahoo News Network launched an online poll on satisfaction with the results of the "Legislative Yuan President and Vice President" election. As of the afternoon of the 2nd, about 20,000 netizens participated in the vote, of which 58.5% were "very satisfied" and "fairly satisfied" Accounting for 10.6%. In other words, Han’s support rate reaches 70%. According to the observation of the Taiwan Issues Research Center (tpoc), Han Kuo-yu's online favorability was 0.64 on January 26, with a total voice volume of 9,094. However, on February 1, the day of the "Legislative Yuan" election, his total voice volume exploded. increased to 68,000, and the favorability score increased to 1.03. tpoc said that from the results of network data analysis, it can be found that the only party that strongly does not want Han Guoyu to be the "legislative president" is the Democratic Progressive Party. Netizens have left messages saying, "Hurry up and dig out all the information that has been hidden from the past eight years. Don't be merciful."
Taiwanese media analysts believe that Han Kuo-yu's victory in the "Legislative Yuan" has three major meanings: first, it shows that the Blue Army is quite united as a whole and has a high willingness to contain the Democratic Progressive Party; second, eight "legislators" of the People's Party voted for his own family , choosing to abstain in the second round of voting is equivalent to assisting Han Guoyu; thirdly, Han is basically determined to become the core figure of the blue camp in the next four years.
On the night of his election, Hanguo-yu brought "Vice President" Jiang Qichen, Kuomintang caucus general convener Fu Kunqi, and Secretary-General Hong Mengkai to visit the former "Legislative Yuan" Wang Jinping. With the recommendation of Wang Jinping and others, Han Guoyu decided to invite Zhou Wanlai to serve as the Secretary-General of the "Legislative Yuan". According to a report by Taiwan's "United Daily News" on February 3, Han Kuo-yu put forward the following conditions for the candidate for secretary-general: he must be able to transcend party affiliation, be able to coordinate and handle the affairs of the academy, and also help each "legislator" with the logistics of asking questions. Work. The reason why Zhou Wanlai is favored by Han Kuo-yu is that, in addition to transcending party affiliation, more importantly, he is recognized by both the government and the public as the "living dictionary of the Legislative Yuan." He is 72 years old. Most of his public career has been in the Legislative Yuan. He has served as section chief and director of the deliberative group, director of the deliberative office, consultant and deputy secretary-general. He is quite skilled in deliberative operations and related regulations.
Hong Mengkai said on Facebook on the 3rd that professionalism is more important than anything else. Hanguo Yu’s invitation to Zhou Wanlai to serve as the secretary-general of the "Legislative Yuan" is "the most appropriate and exciting way to start." "Legislator" Wang Hongwei said that Zhou Wanlai has no political color and plays a supporting role in the "Legislative Yuan". Such a role is a bonus for Hanguo-yu. Taiwanese media person Huang Yangming believes that by inviting Zhou Wanlai to serve as secretary-general, Hanguo-yu has taken the right first step. He reminded Han "Don't forget that there are many media in the Legislative Yuan." From now on, there will be media waiting at the door of the "Dean's Office" early in the morning to see what time he will go to work. It could resurface at any time."
Sure enough, Han Guoyu did not enter the "Legislative Yuan" for work on the 2nd, which immediately triggered criticism from the green camp. DPP "legislator" Lin Chuyin said that Han Guoyu did not enter the "Legislative Yuan" on the first day of work. "There are always 100 reasons for people who don't want to go to work." Hong Mengkai hit back, saying that the Green Camp is boring and looking for trouble. After Han Guoyu was sworn in on the 1st, he officially sent a letter to the three party groups as the "dean" on the 2nd, and a government-opposition consultative meeting will be held on the afternoon of the 5th. If the DPP only wants to play politics and even drag down the proceedings, the People's Party and the Kuomintang have no interest in accompanying it. Zhao Shaokang, a senior Taiwanese media person, said on the 3rd that the people who blackmailed Han have not dissipated, and are now focused on him, so Han must be very cautious and cautious, as anything will be magnified ten times or a hundred times.
Green and White criticized each other over the "Phonegate Incident"
After Han Kuo-yu was elected, rumors of "secret room negotiations" broke out in the Green and White camps. According to Taiwan media reports, although the Democratic Progressive Party severely criticized the People's Party for "confirming" Han Kuo-yu, there are widespread rumors in the island's political and media circles that the two parties were quietly communicating about candidates before the election. Lvying said that the night before the vote, People's Party Chairman Ke Wenzhe called the top leaders of the Democratic Progressive Party, hoping that they would vote for "Legislative President" to Huang Shanshan of the People's Party. "Vice President" they would fully support Cai Qichang of the DPP. . DPP spokesperson Wu Zhengyan categorically stated that it was Ke Wenzhe who took the initiative to call a medical boss in Green Camp and entrusted him with the coordination.
Regarding the DPP’s revelations, Ke Wenzhe was so angry that he slammed the table. He retorted that people from all walks of life in the Democratic Progressive Party were looking for him at that time, including the medical leaders mentioned above. Of course he wanted to call back, so it was not him who took the initiative to contact the other party. He threatened, "If everyone wants to play dirty tricks, we will meet in court."
Taiwan's "China Times" said on the 3rd that just when the outside world was curious about who this medical tycoon was, Taiwanese doctor Chen Yongxing took the initiative to stand up by publishing an open letter. He revealed that he had visited People's Party "legislator" Huang Guochang and DPP Chairman Lai Qingde, and raised the possibility of seeking Green-White cooperation in the "Legislative Yuan". Lai Qingde said that he would not rule out cooperating with opposition parties to promote various reforms. Therefore, Chen Yongxing visited the foundation of Zhang Jinjian, Ke Wenzhe's teacher and honorary professor of National Taiwan University School of Medicine, and asked him to convey Lai Qingde's meaning to Ke Wenzhe. On the evening of January 31, he received a call from Ke Wenzhe, proposing that "if the DPP can vote for Huang Shanshan in the first round, the People's Party is willing to support the DPP candidate as the 'vice president'." Later, because the DPP insisted on only supporting You Xikun's election as "Legislative President", the two parties failed to reach a consensus and gave up. Taiwanese media believe that Chen Yongxing's revelations are tantamount to a slap in the face of Ke Wenzhe, confirming that he took the initiative to approach the DPP.
html On the 3rd, Huang Guochang, the non-district "legislator" of the People's Party, criticized the Democratic Progressive Party on Facebook for confusing right and wrong, saying that it was obviously their various people who came to ask to see Ke Wenzhe and seek cooperation. As a result, the "Legislative Yuan" election was held on February 1 After that, the DPP used its official microphone to throw out some inexplicable smear news, conducting a "one-stop smear" operation. Chen Zhihan, spokesman for Ke Wenzhe's office, said on the 3rd that there were two misunderstandings in Chen Yongxing's open letter: First, he missed the fact that an intermediary came to Ke Wenzhe's office, so Ke only called back; second, Chen Yongxing clearly sent the message to Ke's teacher Zhang Jinjian, and also called Zhang to say When looking for Ke Wenzhe, this paragraph was also skipped, "This will cause many people to misunderstand." Huang Shanshan angrily criticized the DPP itself for being unable to bear the responsibility for the defeat of the "President and Vice President of the Legislative Yuan", so she passed it on to others. Ke Jianming, the general convener of the DPP caucus, mocked the People's Party as having 8 useless "legislators", "Facts It proves that in this battle, the DPP is the useless 51 seats."Hong Kong's China Review News Agency analyzed that the "Phone Gate Incident" was quickly exposed after the DPP failed to win the "President and Vice President of the Legislative Yuan", and there may be two major intentions behind it. The first is to shift the focus to avoid excessive criticism of the DPP's defeat; the second is that no matter who takes the initiative in this matter, it means that both sides have communication channels and the possibility of cooperation. This move has made many people in the blue camp dissatisfied. , questioning Ke Wenzhe’s two-handed strategy, and also creating opportunities for future cooperation between Blue and White.
Senior Hong Kong media person and current affairs commentator Guo Yiming wrote an article on the 3rd that Ke Wenzhe must be extremely upset. If he had known that, he would not have been humiliated by the green camp if he had supported the "Han Jiang Pei". At this point, instead of getting stuck in the quagmire of the Green-White conflict, Ke would be better off looking forward. The new "Legislative Yuan" has more challenges that require Blue-White cooperation. "Lianhe Daily" stated on the 3rd that the Democratic Progressive Party, which failed to make a deal, could not bear to see a disguised "blue-white alliance" to allow Hanguo Yu to be elected as the "Legislative Yuan" as he wished, and regarded exposing Ke Wenzhe as a "congratulatory gift" to destroy the newly established relationship between blue and white. Mutual trust is an opportunity to prevent blue and white from joining forces to restrict the authorities from becoming the norm in the "Legislative Yuan". To put it bluntly, it is for the selfish interests of one party. And Ko Wenzhe has exhausted all his efforts to strengthen the influence of the "key minority" and move between blue and green. However, after all, there are few seats. In the next four years, the People's Party may not be able to win the support of either blue or green party in the "Legislative Yuan". I am afraid that it will change. Come to nothing.
Looking forward to improving cross-strait relations
Some Taiwanese media commented that the less than half of the three parties in the "Legislative Yuan" may affect the future development of Taiwan's political situation. Han Kuo-yu has many challenges to face. Li Yanqiu, a senior media person in Taiwan, said that in fact, ordinary people just watched the farce like the green and white "Phone Gate" with the mood of watching a show. What they really care about is how the new "Legislative Yuan" can bring order to the chaos. In particular, Hanguo-yu has reached the peak of his political career. "What we need to show at this time is to supervise the governance of the country and stop engaging in such troubling things as harmonizing the government and the opposition." Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun said on the 3rd that the Kuomintang will next promote "Legislative Yuan reform" to give it supervisory power. Fu Kunqi, the general convener of the party group, said that a "Congress Special Investigation Team" will be established in the "Legislative Yuan" to fight corruption with all its strength. Former "legislator" Guo Zhengliang said that Han Kuo-yu should stabilize the reform alliance with the People's Party in the first session, and at the same time take advantage of Tsai Ing-wen's last session to review issues such as high-end vaccines. There is a lot of room for cooperation between the two sides on these issues. He predicted that compared with the Chen Shui-bian period, blue-green negotiations may be more difficult, and the atmosphere of confrontation between the government and the opposition will be more fierce than in 2000. Kinmen County Kuomintang "legislator" Chen Yuzhen said in an interview with the Global Times on the 3rd that Han Guoyu was elected as the "Legislative Yuan", and the Kuomintang is the majority party in the "Legislative Yuan". I believe that the DPP has been in the "Legislative Yuan" for a long time. "Behavior" will be improved, and some outdated bills and bills that are detrimental to cross-strait relations will also be revised to a considerable extent.
The bills related to cross-strait relations mentioned by Chen Yuzhen are also one of the most watched issues on the island. Hong Mengkai, secretary-general of the Kuomintang's "Legislative Yuan" caucus, said that the positive development of cross-strait relations is the expectation of more than 23 million people in Taiwan. The most important thing now is that tourism and cultural exchanges should return to normal. During the new session, the Kuomintang "legislators" will urge the administrative departments to "light on politics and focus on people's livelihood" and push in the direction of opening up the economy and tourism. In response to the green media's claim that the opposition parties will join forces to repeal the "anti-osmosis law", Hong Mengkai said that the DPP always treats others with political awareness. "The KMT's goal is very clear, which is to fight for the economy and livelihood for the people." Huang Shanshan said that cross-strait peace is the goal and anything that helps in this direction will be done. Taiwan's China Times Electronic News stated that Lai Ching-te will bring his stubborn character into the leadership position in Taiwan without reservation. "'Administrative conflict with legislation' is destined to become a daily political routine in the next four years, and the 'Legislative Yuan' will have a good time." .
Liu Xingren, associate professor at the Chinese Culture University in Taiwan, wrote an article on the 2nd that Han Kuo-yu's election as "Legislative Yuan" is not only a manifestation of great unity for the Kuomintang, but also an opportunity for Han Kuo-yu personally to regain public enthusiasm, "How to revitalize Taiwan's economy , easing cross-strait relations is our expectation for Han Kuo-yu." The article puts forward two points: First, if cross-Strait relations fall into an irreversible state under Lai Xiao’s administration, it will bring unpredictable risks to Taiwan, the Taiwan Strait region, and U.S.-China mainland relations. Han Kuo-yu’s election “can just become Lai Xiao’s "The brake valve for administrative overflow"; secondly, Taiwan's economic recovery is sluggish, and many people's livelihood problems need to be solved urgently. Han Kuo-yu can just show off his skills to help Taiwan's economy get out of trouble as soon as possible.
"China Times" stated on the 3rd that in the past few years, while occupying an absolute majority in the "Legislative Yuan", the Democratic Progressive Party has successively passed the "Reverse Infiltration Law" and "Five National Security Laws", expanded the scope of foreign aggression crimes, strengthened military, public and educational The prison sentences involved in "communist espionage cases", strict control of retired generals going to the mainland, and prevention of infiltration by hostile forces from abroad have hindered normal cross-strait exchanges. In the new "Legislative Yuan", non-green "legislators" account for about 55%, and it is certain that such "anti-China" bills will be restricted. From the perspective of cross-strait issues, the Kuomintang adheres to the "1992 Consensus and opposes Taiwan independence"; the People's Party advocates that "both sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family" and also recognizes that both sides of the Taiwan Strait share the same culture, ethnicity, and the same history and language. If the opposition camp forms an alliance in the "Legislative Yuan", especially if they cooperate on cross-strait issues, the Kuomintang will have an absolute majority with 52 seats, 2 seats without party membership, and the People's Party's 8 seats. It will be able to effectively check and balance Lai Qingde through legislative power and prevent the DPP from doing so. Propose overly radical cross-strait bills.The article stated that at present, cross-strait tourism has been unable to take a big step forward. If the "legislators" representing the new public opinion comply with the regulations and can withstand the pressure and bravely go to the mainland for exchanges and convey Taiwan's true public opinion, in addition to building cross-strait communication In addition to the platform, it can also let the mainland know that the mainstream public opinion on the island still hopes for peaceful development across the Taiwan Strait.