Direct News: Mr. Liu, we have noticed that the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China to be held tomorrow has aroused widespread concern both inside and outside of Taiwan Island. What do you think is the reason behind this?
Special Commentator Liu Heping: In fact, the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China to be held tomorrow, especially the upcoming report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, will determine the major policies and policies for the development of China's political, economic, cultural, social and diplomatic fields in the next five years. , and the Taiwan issue is obviously an important part of it, even the top priority. Therefore, all those on and off the island who are concerned about the situation in the Taiwan Strait are waiting with wide eyes for the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China to be released tomorrow.
And in my opinion, during the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, there are mainly several observation points about the Taiwan issue -
The first one is that at the beginning of this year, Sun Yafu, vice president of Association of Maritime Association, was accepting the Central Committee. When interviewed by of the Central Radio and Television Station, it was revealed that at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China held this year, "the guiding ideology for Taiwan's work in the next five years will be put forward, new decisions and arrangements will be made, and some new policies may also be proposed. claim". The outside world is paying attention to what these new decisions, new deployments and new propositions are, and where they are.
Second, the Sixth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China held last year mentioned the phrase "the new era party's overall strategy for solving the Taiwan issue", so the outside world is paying attention to whether the "new era party's overall strategy for solving the Taiwan issue" will be? It will be written into the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, especially what the specific content of this general strategy is.
Third, as early as in 2019 at the 40th anniversary of the publication of the " Letter to Compatriots in Taiwan ", the mainland once proposed to explore the Taiwan plan of ", one country, two systems". Therefore, both inside and outside the island are concerned about whether the Taiwan plan of "one country, two systems" will be further elaborated in the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and what are the paths and specific plans to realize it.
In addition, in the past two or three years, speculations in Western public opinion that "the CCP will solve the Taiwan issue in the next five years" or even "reunification" of Taiwan by force has begun to rage again. Therefore, both inside and outside the island are very concerned about whether the length of the discussion on the Taiwan issue will be greatly increased in the report to the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China compared with the past, and whether the Taiwan issue will be mentioned in a more prominent position.
Straight news: At the first press conference of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China held this afternoon, the spokesperson sent a message to Taiwan compatriots: Reunification is beneficial, "Taiwan independence" is a dead end, and outsiders are unreliable. What do you think about this?
special commentator Liu Heping: Today, Sun Yeli, the spokesman for the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, said, "As long as there is a possibility of a first-line peaceful solution, we will make a hundred times our efforts, and non-peaceful means will be the last choice when we have to." This is actually telling the Taiwan authorities and the foreign forces that deliberately intervene in the situation in the Taiwan Strait that as long as you pull back from the precipice and do not take dangerous "Taiwan independence" moves, then the mainland will not take the initiative to adopt non-peaceful means to resolve the Taiwan issue. Therefore, those remarks about "the mainland will take military control of Taiwan in the next five years" can stop, and those who make such remarks can also wash and sleep.
In addition, even if we observe the press conference from the perspective of the Taiwan issue, or even the entire conference, we can't just focus on how the press conference is expressed on the Taiwan issue, but also on other issues. expressed, as well as the length and weight of the expression, etc. becauseIn general, China's domestic and foreign affairs, including the economy, people's livelihood, society, the Taiwan issue, and diplomatic issues, are actually an organic unity and an integral part of the goal of realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.
Then, I think, from the focus of this conference on domestic economic and people's livelihood development, at least so many political signals can be deciphered -
The first is that it shows that China is soberly aware that in the The sharp interest rate hikes by Western countries led by the United States have led to a sharp return of the currencies of emerging economies to the dollar. The United States has recklessly implemented economic and technological wars against China in an attempt to squeeze China out of the Western high-tech industrial chain, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has led to global Under the background of the high oil price aggravating the inflation crisis, solving economic and people's livelihood problems, especially dealing with the current downward pressure on the economy, is still the top priority of China's work after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. In other words, in the next one or two years or even the next five years, as long as the "grey rhinoceros" of "Taiwan independence" does not collide, the mainland will focus on economic and people's livelihood issues.
Second, China still chooses to develop the domestic economy to benefit the people's livelihood as always, and solving domestic economic and people's livelihood problems actually requires the cooperation of a stable external environment. Therefore, this also means that China still insists that peaceful development is the major trend and theme of today's world, and will still firmly choose the path of peaceful development. China's pursuit of a grand strategy of peaceful development actually means that it will maintain its strategic focus on the Taiwan issue and adhere to the main tone of peaceful reunification.
Third, it shows that from the perspective of the mainland, solving the Taiwan issue must be combined with the national development strategy and the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. In other words, the mainland will not forcefully resolve the Taiwan issue when the time is not ripe.
In my opinion, China's unswerving strategic choice to develop the economy and people's livelihood for the benefit of the people actually means that the next five years will still be a window of opportunity for cross-strait peace. The English-speaking authorities should seize this window of opportunity, not to be suspicious and not to play with fire easily, and really push the situation in the Taiwan Strait into war. Author of
Liu Heping, special commentator of Shenzhen Satellite TV "Live Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan"
