[Text/Observer.com columnist Wang Bingzhong]
Many people in the world believe that Trump is "returning to the pot", and the first person to tremble is Ukrainian President Zelensky. At first, he misunderstood the instigation of Western countries and insisted on joining NATO. As a result, Putin used force. Now he is waiting to be kicked away by Trump. The second one is South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue, who has bet all his money on the United States. He does not expect that the White House will change hands, isolationism will return, and even European countries have long looked for other ways. He may be in trouble.
But in my opinion, the one who should really be worried is the "Taiwan independence worker" Lai Qingde. He pretended to be calm on the surface, but he still showed his flaws.
As early as the eve of the US election, the "Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs" of Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party authorities told the US media that Taiwan was "worry" about this election in the United States. This word is different from "concern". It hides concerns about Trump's "return to the pot" and also exposes the DPP authorities' careful thinking of "betting" on the Democratic government.
The irony is that the DPP government always seems to bet on the wrong side. Four years ago, the Green Camp mobilized almost from top to bottom. They not only boasted on the island that Trump's re-election would be beneficial to Taiwan, but also paid real money. Trump kept shouting that Taiwan should pay more "protection fees", so they approved two rounds of US military purchases in the week before the vote. But the funny thing is that the arms that have been paid for have not yet arrived.
Trump Data Map: Xinhua News Agency
Then, the Democratic Progressive Party authorities changed their preference for Pelosi who visited Taiwan, and even imagined that the Democratic Party is the one who really "supports Taiwan." Now that Trump has been elected, and even Congress is completely controlled by the Republican Party, Taiwan is just waiting to be "sold"!
We say this not to ridicule the Democratic Progressive Party, but because Trump said it so plainly. Of course, the United States does not distinguish between the two major parties. All it wants to do is "use Taiwan to contain China" and play the "Taiwan card." In the words of the Democratic Progressive Party, it means "supporting Taiwan regardless of party affiliation." The problem is that it is true that both parties in the United States are anti-China, but "supporting Taiwan" may not be true. The essence of playing the "Taiwan card" is to use Taiwan.
However, the argument of the "Taiwan independence" elements is that it doesn't matter if they are used by the United States, they just want to create "value" that can be used by the United States. But how much "value" does Taiwan still have to give to the United States? They think about being used and exploited by the United States all day long, so what is the value of the Taiwanese people?
To put it bluntly, both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party know that Taiwan will be reunified by the mainland sooner or later. What the United States wants has never been to "preserve Taiwan from being reunified", but to figure out how to extract the maximum benefits before reunification. For Biden, he still thinks the same as the American establishment. He must "take a long-term view to catch the big fish" and adopt a "delay strategy" to avoid a showdown between the two sides now. Only in this way can mainland China still have hope for peaceful reunification. Time is used to arm Taiwan, accumulate the costs for China to solve the Taiwan issue, and use the Taiwan issue to delay and weaken China's development.
However, Trump dismisses this strategy that seems to be based on the "big picture", just like the majority of American voters dislike the elitist language of the Democratic Party. When Trump looks at the Taiwan issue, he only considers short-term interests. As Musk said, regardless of whether it is peace or force, Taiwan will be reunified sooner or later.
Instead of building up Taiwan’s arms for “asymmetric warfare”, it would be better to force Taiwan to buy all the arms that the United States cannot handle and earn huge profits for American arms dealers. As for TSMC, it is the "enemy" that steals U.S. chip technology and business, and is also a "traitor" that sells chips to mainland China. Trump has named TSMC many times. The only way is to move everything to the United States, otherwise it will Waiting to receive 200% tariff sanctions.
Trump is pushing Taiwan to death. The so-called "sacred mountain that protects Taiwan" TSMC is being hollowed out by the United States step by step. Even if it complies and sets up factories in the United States, it will not get the subsidy conditions provided by the Biden era. There is only coercion. inducement. As for the price of "protection fees", Trump has publicly called out 10% of Taiwan's GDP, which is almost the total budget of the Taiwan authorities for a year, which is used to buy arms.Can't do it? Then all that is left is to "sell out" and wait to change from Trump's "chess piece" to "abandoned piece".
TSMC Data map: Company official website
Taiwan’s current situation with the United States is like a man haunted by a lustful ghost. After the ghost knocks the man’s bones and sucks out the marrow, the remaining bones are left to fend for themselves. It's also like Wang Xifeng in "A Dream of Red Mansions", who entrusted the stolen money and his daughter Qiao Jie to an inhumane person. Qiao Jie's uncle swallowed up the stolen money and then sold Qiao Jie, whose house had been ransacked, into a brothel to avoid leaving any harm to himself. With you around, you can still make one last fortune. For Trump, Taiwan is a problem that may create war risks for the United States. Once he squeezes out all he can, he will sell it at a high price.
The Democratic Progressive Party is now deceiving itself by saying that during Trump's previous administration, US-Taiwan relations were the best in history since the "breakoff of diplomatic relations", and Trump was more willing to sell large weapons to Taiwan than Biden. However, this is like raising the price before selling, and it is also a trading strategy that Trump is not shy about promoting.
What is even more exaggerated is that the Democratic Progressive Party once again used internal struggle to shift the focus, and used the green media to promote the argument that Taiwan should "return to others": first ask yourself whether you are spending enough money and whether you are worthy of the military. Not long enough, enough strong men have been caught. Then we will criticize the opposition party: How dare you block the defense budget and divide people's trust in the "government". Once the "protection fee" is insufficient and the United States suspects that Taiwan has no intention of self-defense, how can it be done?
In short, it is to use all its self-deprecating abilities to turn against the United States. Every mistake is Taiwan's fault. As for whether the weapons that Trump forced on Taiwan are suitable and usable, whether the price is reasonable, and when the goods will arrive after paying the money, these questions cannot even be asked, everything is only Something is wrong with Taiwan.
Lai Qingde Data map: Taiwan United News
In fact, from a dialectical perspective, it should be a good thing that Trump has completely torn off the veil of the "American Dream". Just look at the Kuomintang "legislator" Ke Zhien who always talks about "we the West" and "our America". This time, facing Trump, who has made it clear that he wants to slaughter Taiwan, he finally has to deal with the German who bows to the United States whenever he wants. Sexuality, when it comes to wanting the DPP, we cannot be unprepared. But in the final analysis, this is really an injustice to the DPP. Since you all say that Taiwan is going to take a "pro-American" line, what else can you do? Just add more money!
Today’s Taiwan can only hope that Trump will hit the Chinese mainland hard again and use high tariffs to restrict the mainland’s development. In this way, Taiwan seems to be able to benefit. But the so-called tariffs are not immune to Taiwanese products sold in the United States. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities are fooling the people by saying that as long as mainland Chinese products disappear, Taiwan can replace them on a large scale. This is completely ignoring Taiwan's production capacity and purely trying to inject chicken blood into itself. talk. Not to mention that once the Sino-US trade war and technology war intensify, as well as the global tariff war, TSMC will be the victim, and Taiwan's economy, which is mainly export-oriented, will inevitably get worse.
What's more, the "Taiwan independence" group's expectation of the United States' "support for Taiwan" is nothing more than Trump's operation to stir up the Taiwan issue and increase the value of the "Taiwan brand." But once the Taiwan issue overheats, foreign capital will first move out of Taiwan, just like Ma When Trump was first elected, Skoda reported that it wanted its suppliers in Taiwan to leave Taiwan to avoid the risk of "geopolitical conflict." If mainland China is really driven into economic downturn and problems by the United States, the urgency to solve the Taiwan issue will only become stronger. "Taiwan independence" wishful thinking that "anti-China" means "supporting Taiwan" is just like "eager independence" promotes "Taiwan independence". "Ji Tong" is full of ignorance and paradox.
Trump's coming to power will inevitably bring more uneasiness to Sino-US relations, and will also bring huge challenges to the development of mainland China. However, the resurgence of its unilateralism not only gives China the opportunity to expand its circle of friends around the world, but also forces those on both sides of the Taiwan Straits who have filters and illusions about the United States to stop.As for the largest number of fence-sitting factions in Taiwan, in addition to keeping a distance from the Democratic Progressive Party's "anti-China and Taiwan" campaign, they can only face reality. In the face of reunification, it is getting harder and harder to pretend to be asleep!
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