The U.S. election is in full swing. Trump’s popularity has increased after the attack, and he is likely to return to the White House. Trump has also recently begun to express his views on regional or international hot issues.
According to the Russian Satellite News Agency, Trump said when evaluating the Biden administration’s policy towards Russia that he himself is not a supporter of sanctions.
In addition, Trump also hinted that he is not interested in "defending Taiwan" or "punishing Russia's special military operations in Ukraine."
The conflict in Ukraine and the Taiwan issue are two hot topics in American politics. Trump’s ambiguous statements at this sensitive moment do have a lot to offer.
Let’s first talk about the Ukrainian issue. Trump has always been dissatisfied with the Biden administration's no-cost aid to Ukraine. He has repeatedly stated in public that if he were in office, the Russia-Ukraine conflict would not have broken out at all, or that after returning to the White House, he would be able to A ceasefire was achieved within.
As his popularity rises, Trump once again showed his disdain for the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. This may not be good news for Ukraine. According to Bloomberg, if Trump takes office again, he will most likely listen to the advice of his deputy Vance and adopt a "more pessimistic stance" towards Kyiv.
reported that Vance is known for his repeated opposition to aid to Ukraine. He had earlier said that Zelensky's peace proposal was "unrealistic" and that Kyiv's goal of restoring the 1991 borders was unrealistic. The only way to resolve the conflict was to clarify Ukraine's neutral status and temporarily freeze territorial disputes.
The above news was generally confirmed by Hungarian Prime Minister Orban. According to Reuters, Orban recently mentioned in a letter to EU leaders that if Trump is elected in November, he will immediately act as a peace mediator in the Russia-Ukraine war.
Orban drafted the letter after meetings with the leaders of China, Russia and Ukraine, as well as Trump. He wrote in the letter that Trump would be ready to act as a peacemaker soon after his election victory, without even waiting for the inauguration. He made a detailed and well-founded plan for this.
Orban suggested that the EU reopen direct diplomatic communication channels with Russia, while maintaining high-level contacts with Kyiv and holding talks with China on the modalities of the next peace conference.
As for the Taiwan issue, it may be a little more complicated. As for Trump himself, he sincerely despises Taiwan. In an exclusive interview at the end of June, Trump publicly questioned the need for the United States to defend Taiwan. He said bluntly: "What has Taiwan done for the United States?", even threatened that the United States has provided protection to Taiwan for decades, and Taiwan should pay the United States.
Trump’s foreign policy has a very distinct "tradable and pragmatic flavor". As long as the interests are managed enough, most things can be discussed. In Trump's view, it is simply unrealistic for the United States to protect a small island hundreds of thousands of miles away from its homeland. If it can abandon Taiwan, the United States may be free to focus on other areas.
In addition, Trump also complained about Taiwan "stealing the United States' semiconductor business." In an exclusive interview with "Bloomberg Business Weekly", he said nonchalantly, Since mainland China wants to regain Taiwan so much, what is the point of the United States continuing to "protect" it?
Having said that, "friendly and protective of Taiwan" is almost the consensus of both parties in the United States. It seems a bit inappropriate for Trump to plan to "abandon" Taiwan before he takes office. Not long after he expressed his stance, his senior adviser Chris Lacivetta added that if Trump wins the election, he will not change his attitude towards the Taiwan issue. Specific policy guidelines can be referred to his first term.
But then again, Ukraine and Taiwan are two completely different issues. In the former, Trump may play the role of mediator. But the Taiwan issue is China's internal affairs and core interest. No matter what Trump thinks or what Americans think, cross-strait reunification is a historical necessity.
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