One wave after another, just as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues to spill over and an all-out war between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah is expected to break out, Russia has received two pieces of bad news one after another.
First, Crimea was suddenly attacked by missiles, causing heavy casualties among local residents.
According to Xinhua News Agency, on June 23, the Crimean port city of Sevastopol was suddenly attacked by a missile. The Russian Ministry of Health announced that the attack resulted in 3 deaths and 124 injuries, including 2 children. died and 27 children were injured.
The mayor of Sevastopol claimed that the city’s air defense system destroyed 5 aerial targets. However, the missile attack still caused heavy casualties to the local area, and Russian President Vladimir Putin quickly expressed his condolences. What do you think of
?
First of all, who did it?
Although Uzbekistan has not claimed it yet, Russia has determined that it was Uzbekistan. According to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on the 23rd, the Russian Ministry of Defense said that day that the Ukrainian army used ATACMS missiles provided by the US military to attack Sevastopol. Russia will not fail to respond to this, and both the United States and the Kiev regime that provided weapons to Ukraine will Be responsible for this.
Prior to this, the United States openly expressed support for the Ukrainian army to use American weapons to attack the Russian mainland, but only in the Russian border area near Kharkov. The United States has long been accustomed to using "salami-slicing" tactics. On the issue of aid to Ukraine, it is difficult for Russia to grasp where the "bottom line" of the United States is. As far as Russia is concerned, if Russia does not make a severe retaliation, the United States will "push further" and fail. Not hard to foresee.
Secondly, even if Russia points its finger at the United States and Kiev, what specific response will Russia take?
It is not difficult to foresee Russia’s means of retaliating against Kiev. It usually launches large-scale air strikes against Ukraine. . In recent times, the Russian army has carried out air strikes against Ukraine and even Ukraine quite frequently. The attack on Sevastopol was probably also carried out by Ukraine. Party's retaliatory actions.
As for retaliating against the United States, Russia may repeat its old tricks and use high-precision weapons to destroy American-made weapons and equipment such as ATACMS. Putin once said that Russia can provide weapons to hostile forces in Western countries that provide military aid to Ukraine. Next, Russia may have to step up its actions in this field.
Finally, how to "protect" the security of Russia's borders and residents of Crimea is still a difficult problem facing Russia.
In order to relieve the crisis in Belgorod, Putin decided to create a buffer zone in Kharkov Oblast, but the current battle of the Russian army in Kharkov is not easy. The attack in Sevastopol once again reminded Russia that even if Russia opens a "buffer zone", the West can provide Ukraine with longer-range and more powerful long-range weapons, and Russia will face endless troubles.
Second, South Korea issued a new warning to Russia.
According to reference news reports, on June 23, Jang Ho-jin, director of the National Security Office of the South Korean President's Office, said that if Russia provides cutting-edge weapons to North Korea, South Korea can also provide "no restrictions" on military aid to Ukraine. Zhang Huzhen pointed out that the specific type of weapons South Korea will provide to Ukraine has not yet been determined. However, the scale on which South Korea will provide arms to Ukraine will depend on how Russia treats the warnings previously issued by South Korea.
When South Korea first threatened to provide military aid to Ukraine, Putin warned South Korea "not to make mistakes." However, South Korea's warning from Russia significantly escalated on the 23rd. This shows that South Korea does not seem to be frightened by Russia. As a result, the possibility of South Korea joining the ranks of military aid to Ukraine is not small.
Recently, as the West gradually resumes military aid to Ukraine, the momentum of the Russian army’s offensive in the direction of Kharkov has begun to weaken. The Russian Ministry of Defense does not announce the new results of the Russian army as frequently as in the past. At the same time, Putin has repeatedly warned the West The signal for peace talks with Kiev seems to be that it wants to stop. South Korea's military production capacity is more advantageous than that of many European countries. If South Korea does not impose restrictions on aid to Ukraine, the pressure on the Russian military will inevitably increase significantly.
In the "game" with Russia, South Korea seems to be facing greater risks. Although South Korea is wary of military pressure from the north and is worried that Russia will make big moves, however, whether the situation in East Asia will change drastically, Russia cannot unilaterally decide . In other words, South Korea's warning cannot be ignored by Russia. It is hard to say whether Russia can prevent South Korea from providing weapons to Ukraine, but Russia needs to be prepared in advance.
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