The annual Oscar Awards are here again.
However, with the overall collapse of Hollywood movies in the Chinese market in the past two years, Chinese movie fans have paid much less attention to the Oscars. What's even more unfortunate is that the Oscars award day is March 10, which is during China's "Two Sessions". At that time, the national media will be concerned about the political issues brought about by the Two Sessions, and there will not be much space left for the Oscars.
However, as a senior movie fan, you still have to pay attention. Because this year is a return year, after the Oscars have been dominated by unpopular films for several consecutive years, this time they are finally back on track. In particular, "Oppenheimer " directed by Nolan won 13 nominations in one fell swoop, which is close to the record of 14 nominations for a single film in a single session. In addition, the box office hit " Barbie " received 8 nominations. Martin Scorsese's "Killers of the Flower Moon" also received 10 nominations. At present, it seems that these mainstream films have not only received multiple nominations, but are also the most favorable candidates for the final award winners, which is worth watching.
So, let’s guess who will win in advance.
In short, this will be the year that Christopher Nolan becomes a god, and it is also the year that he wins a great victory. This award finally allows Nolan to successfully advance to become the most powerful director in Hollywood today. one.
The complete list of nominees is as follows ↓↓
Best Picture:
"American Novel"
"Judgment of the Fall"
"Barbie"
"Stay in School"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Music Master"
"Oppenheimer" 》
《Past Life》
《Poor Thing》
《Zone of Interest》
With the failure of several masterpieces such as "Napoleon", "Ferrari" and "May 12", and the lack of powerful dark horses in literary and artistic films this year, In this list, it is actually very obvious who wins and who loses. The existence of "Oppenheimer" is obviously higher than other films. If it doesn't win, who can win? (Detailed review: Why "Oppenheimer" is a masterpiece)
The films that can have some influence on "Oppenheimer" are "Poor Things" and "The Stayer", but these two films are There is a phenomenon of performance greater than content, which cannot have a fundamental impact on the best of Nolan's career.
Best Director:
Justin Trier, "The Fall"
Yorgos Lanthimos, "Poor Thing"
Christopher Nolan, "Oppenheimer"
Jonathan Glazer, "The Profit" Area》
Martin Scorsese's "Killers of the Flower Moon"
There is no doubt that the winner is Nolan. There is something about Yorgos Lanthimos that deserves an Oscar to award him a trophy, but not this time. "Poor Thing" is just his standard work. He unfortunately met the strongest Nolan in history.
As for Martin Scorsese, this nomination is already his 9th. He is the director with the most nominations among living directors today, surpassing Spielberg's 8. However, for Old Martin to be nominated, it is already the greatest compliment for him. "Killers of the Flower Moon" is far inferior to the previous film "The Irishman". It didn't win the award last time, let alone this time.
As for Justine Trier and Jonathan Glazer, their films are too literary and artistic and are not suitable for the Hollywood Academy. There is no way they can win awards even if they are nominated. Unless the academy members just can't stand Nolan, don't want to acknowledge Nolan, or want to disgust Nolan, it's possible that such a situation could lead to an upset.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
"Barbie"
"Oppenheimer"
"American Novel"
"Poor Thing"
"Zone of Interest"
"Oppenheimer", the screenwriter can turn a story as complex as a TV series , cleverly integrating an extremely complex character into a movie and making the movie very beautiful. This kind of screenwriting skill is extremely powerful, and you won’t be convinced.
As for "Barbie", in fact, after it missed the nomination for Best Director and Best Actress, being able to give it a Best Adapted Screenplay is already the biggest compliment. In the final analysis, the story of "Barbie" has a serious intellectually misleading behavior. It interprets a very serious issue of female equality in an infantilizing way. Although the film is very expressive, it is just a story. It's a clever work, and its ability lies more in the director's technique than in the level of adaptation. It is impossible to win a prize.
As for the two films "Poor Thing" and "Zone of Interest", they have been recognized at the three major European film festivals. There is no problem with their quality, but they are not Hollywood dishes, and they cannot compete with "Oppenheim" at all. "Silent" caused an impact.
Best Original Screenplay:
"Falling Judgment"
"Stay in School Alliance"
"Music Master"
"May and December"
"Past Life"
finally chose between "Falling Judgment" and "Staying in School Alliance" 》, whoever wins has good reasons. According to Hollywood's urine, "Stay in School" is a dark horse in 2023. It deserves more attention and has a high probability of winning an award. Again, "Judgment of the Fallen" is awesome, but it's not Hollywood's cup of tea.
Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper "Music Master"
Coleman Domingo "Rustin"
Paul Giamatti "Stay in School"
Cillian Murphy "Oppenheimer"
Jeffrey White "American Novel"
Again there is no doubt that the winner is first-time nominee Cillian Murphy. Although his performance was somewhat over-exerted and not perfect, even Robert Downey Jr. in the same film, the other kidnappers in this nomination are even more unbeatable.
Paul Giamatti of "Stay in School" is a big wronged person and a big legacy. His ability is not inferior to that of Joaquin Phoenix. He owes him an Oscar as an actor, but due to his own image, he has always lacked Presence in mainstream films. Paul Giamatti's performance in "Stay in School" is very good, but it lacks the feeling of photographic memory and is not his best work. This time, he can have some impact on Cillian Murphy, but if he wants to win the award, he has to rely on luck.
As for Bradley Cooper, it’s hard to imagine that this is already his 6th acting award nomination (previously, he was nominated 5 times for 4 main roles and 1 supporting role). This handsome guy has slowly become a Hollywood backbone. But here's the problem. Every nomination is suspected of being fake. His ability is good but there is an upper limit, which is difficult to break through. This time "Music Master" is really a terrible film. It is already a miracle that it was nominated. As for winning, don't even think about it.
Coleman Domingo ("Rustin") and Jeffrey White ("American Novel"), who are these two? It is estimated that many people have never heard of them. They are typical list companions. There is no chance of winning.
Best Actress:
Emma Stone "Poor Thing"
Carey Mulligan "The Music Master"
Lily Gladstone "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Annette Bening "Ned"
Margot Robbie in Sandra Wheeler's "The Fall"
"Barbie"'s Margot Robbie was not nominated, which is one of the biggest mistakes in this year's nomination list. Of course, it’s hard to win even if you’re nominated. Because Lily Gladstone ("Killers of the Flower Moon")'s performance is so amazing that she is basically guaranteed to win an Oscar. If she can win the award, she will become the first Indian-American actress in history and become a new legend that will be worth bragging about for a lifetime.
Elsewhere, Emma Stone (Poor Thing) is Lily Gladstone's biggest rival. Sister Shitou's acting skills have greatly improved since she opened the Six Meridians with "La La Land". The film "Poor Thing" basically relies on her acting skills, and her acting is really good. However, she unfortunately met Lily Gladstone, whose flat thunder was so explosive that even Sister Stone would be blown up by her.
As for Annette Bening ("Ned"), this is also a super Oscar-winning gem. As early as the 72nd Oscar in 2000, Annette Bening was the first choice in all major preludes with her dazzling performance in "American Beauty". However, at the last moment, she was defeated by Hilary Swank for "The Boy". "Don't Cry" was hacked in one fell swoop and remains the biggest injustice in the history of the Oscars. The Oscars properly owe Annette Bening a statuette. However, this time, Bening really couldn't beat Lily Gladstone in "Killers of the Flower Moon" with "Ned", so the loss this time was not unfair.
Best Supporting Actor:
Sterling K. Brown "American Novel"
Robert De Niro "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Robert Downey Jr. "Oppenheimer"
Ryan Gosling "Barbie"
Mark Ruffalo's "Poor Thing"
As mentioned above, even Cillian Murphy is one point shorter under the powerful aura of Robert Downey Jr., Downey's performance this time It's really great. This award is absolutely deserved and unique. No one can be his opponent. This is also the most unsurprising award this year.
Best Supporting Actress:
Emily Blunt "Oppenheimer"
Danielle Brooks " The Purple "
America Ferrera "Barbie"
Damien Joy Len Dolph "The Stayer"
Jodie Foster "Ned"
Emily Blunt has so few scenes in "Oppenheimer" that it drags down her performance, one of the few The camera, just looking at her eyes, is full of drama, but there are too few scenes.
Several other contestants are basically not very good. This year's Best Supporting Actress Oscar is simply a make-up project, lacking competitive contestants. In comparison, the only one with comparable tonnage is Damien Joy Randolph ("Stay in School"), who can be regarded as a little dark horse. She can win awards, and she can also shut the mouth of "Black Lives Matter".
Best International Film:
"I Am the Captain"
"Perfect Days"
"Extremis Covenant"
"Teachers' Lounge"
"Zone of Interest"
There is no suspense about this, since "Judgment of the Fall" did not fall into this project, then "Zone of Interest", which was also selected for Best Picture, is the best choice.
Best Animated Feature Film:
"Monster Girl Nimona"
"Elemental City"
"What Kind of Life Do You Want to Live"
"Robot Dreams"
"Spider-Man: Across the Universe"
Almost everyone. I hope Hayao Miyazaki's "The Heron and the Boy" ("What kind of life do you want to live") will win the award, and the competition will be "Spider-Man: Across the Universe". To be honest, compared to the first "Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse", there are far fewer surprises in "Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse". The first part had a feeling of being born out of nowhere, and it would be an understatement to say it was earth-shattering, but The second part was too showy and the surprise was gone. As long as Hayao Miyazaki is willing to take action, he will be a crushing existence for others and he must win the award.
Best documentary feature:
"Bobby Wine: President of the Streets"
"Eternal Memory"
"The Daughters of Olfa"
"Tiger Slaughter"
"20 Days in Mariupol"
This is it No more guessing, because it involves politics. I won’t comment on whether a film like "20 Days in Mariupol" is because of its subject matter or because it is really well shot. When politics is greater than art, any criticism is powerless.
Best Cinematography:
"The Count"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Maestro"
"Oppenheimer"
"Poor Thing"
Best Editing:
"The Fall"
"The Retention League"
"Oppenheimer"
"Poor Thing"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
Best Visual Effects:
"AI Creators"
"Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3"
"Mission: Impossible 7"
"Napoleon"
"Godzilla-1.0"
Best sound effects:
"AI Creator"
"Music Master"
"Mission: Impossible 7"
"Oppenheimer"
"Zone of Interest"
Best makeup and hairstyle:
"Music Maestro"
"Oppenheimer"
"Golda"
"Poor Thing"
"Extremis"
Best Costume Design Nomination:
"Barbie"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Oburn" Highmore"
"Poor Thing"
"Napoleon"
Best Art Direction:
"Barbie"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Napoleon"
"Oppenheimer"
"Poor Thing"
Best Original Song:
"American Symphony" "it never went away"
"Barbie" "i'm just ken"
"The Birth of Hot Cheetos" "the fire inside"
"Killers of the Flower Moon" "wahzhazhe (a song for my people)"
"Barbie""what was i made for?"
Best soundtrack:
"American Novel"
"Raiders of the Lost Ark"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Oppenheimer"
"Pity
Best Animated Short Film:
"Letters with Pigs"
"Ninety-five Feelings"
"our uniform"
"Thick Skin"
"war is over! Inspired by the music of john & yoko"
Most Best documentary short film:
"Basic Law on Banned Books"
"the barber of little rock"
"island in between"
"the last repair shop"
"Grandma and Grandma"
This is also a political project, no comment. It’s better not to mix art with politics. Talking about politics in Hollywood is not a good phenomenon.
Best Live Action Short Film:
"The Man Who Stayed"
"Invincible"
"Knights of Fortune"
"Red, White and Blue"
"The Amazing Story of Henry Sugar"
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