National Day holiday is coming soon. In addition to traveling, do you have any plans to watch movies? In this 8-day holiday, the most watched movies are undoubtedly "Vanguard" and "Jiang Ziya". "Winning the Championship" has been in theaters for almost a week, presumably to avoid the fierce competition in the National Day file, but its box office will continue to grow during the November period. If you look closely at
, you will find that these three movies released at the end of September and early October are all hotspots for the Spring Festival in 2020. When fans couldn’t wait, an epidemic changed their plans. Now that they are together again, they are bound to divide the box office. Surprisingly, the most promising "Detective Chinatown 3" for the Spring Festival in 2020, there is no news of any release.
Why is "Detective Chinatown 3" so delayed? The editor believes that there are three reasons.
First of all, the epidemic must be a major factor. Although today's life and entertainment are gradually returning to normal, everyone still wears masks on the streets. The cinema is a closed place. It will definitely not appear if the audience is full like before. Keep a distance from each other. This also means that the rate of movie box office growth will slow down, and it will not increase as explosively as before.
and the National Day holiday is only 8 days, if the box office growth rate is only half of the previous, a cliff-like decline after 8 days, it is undoubtedly fatal for a high-cost movie. You know, the cost of "Tang Detective 3" is claimed to be 1.3 billion. If you want to make money first, it must be at least about three times the actual investment, which means at least 3.9 billion. And this year's global box office champion "Eight Hundred", so far it has only a box office of 3 billion.
followed by the market. National Day Golden Week is a good time for office workers to travel. Relatively speaking, movies can only rank second in entertainment. Last year, the National Day file was the most in history. Blockbuster films such as "My Motherland and Me", "The Climber" and "Captain of China" were gathered. In the end, "My Motherland and Me" came out of the siege and only gained 3.1 billion box office. If "Tang Detective 3" is released, assuming it can beat "Jiang Ziya", "Win the Championship" and "Vanguard", it will still make less than 3.9 billion.
Some people say that this is too high, is it possible to earn it? some. In the 2018 Spring Festival file, "Detective Chinatown 2" earned 3.3 billion yuan in box office, and ended up only ranking second. At that time, the gods were fighting, "Monster Hunt 2", "Operation Red Sea" and "The Kingdom of Women" were all competitors. It was not easy for "Tang Detective 2" to break the siege.
Finally, there is competition. In the past two days, the National Day film has begun to promote, and the animated film "Jiang Ziya" is very popular. Coupled with the "Ne Zha" jade in front, "Tang Detective 3" had to consider whether the National Day cake was enough.
To sum up, if "Detective Chinatown 3" is released on the National Day file, it will only lose money.Not earning. Therefore, their ambition is in the Spring Festival 2021. There are only a few months left until 2020. No film official has announced that it will be released on the Spring Festival, and "Tang Detective 3" is probably the first person to eat this cake. As for the result, it depends. Is there anyone who can compete with it in the same period? Its original opponents were all released in advance on National Day files or on the Internet.
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