According to the Hong Kong China Assessment Agency, will Tsai Ing-wen's re-appointment 520 talks on both sides of the strait will be adjusted? Former DPP “legislator” Shen Fuxiong received an interview with China Review News Agency and said that he does not need to have much expectations. He probably reiterated the values of “freedom, equality, and human rights”. With the spread of new coronary pneumonia, it may emphasize medical care, people’s livelihood, or We must unite and wait. With these high-sounding statements, it is very unlikely that Tsai will change the tone of the mainland or restore the deterioration of cross-strait relations during this period.
81-year-old Shen Fuxiong is still active in the media circle. He served as a "legislator" for four terms. He was originally the "Justice Connection" of the DPP, and he withdrew from the DPP in October 2007.
Shen Fuxiong said that since Tsai Ing-wen's political career, to this moment, it has been Tsai's highest peak. Guns are everywhere on the ground, and everything is good for Tsai. But this cannot be said to be lucky for the DPP, but Tsai Ing-wen is at the helm, and doing things right is to reap the administrative dividend. It cannot be said that the epidemic prevention is done so well because the two sides of the strait are not good. That is not good for Cai.
But he also said that Tsai Ing-wen’s 520 inaugural speech this year can only be written by a low-level writer, which will not be very brilliant. Brilliant articles will only be available when they are very difficult and live or die. At that time, they are not low-level writing. Therefore, there is no need to look forward to Tsai Ing-wen’s 520 conversation. We must expect Tsai to change the tone of the mainland. The possibility of reverting the deterioration of cross-strait relations during this period is very low.
Shen Fuxiong analyzed by China Review News that Tsai Ing-wen has been restrained in many ways. The first is the restraint of US President Trump. Tsai cannot be better or more friendly to mainland China than Trump; the second is Taiwan’s “independence faction”. It is represented by Lai Qingde, deputy leader of the quasi-Taiwan region. Although he does not think that Lai is so "independent", and Taiwan's foundation, Chen Baiwei also represents a group of "natural independence." Although the "old independence faction" chooses not to speak, they cannot go. Annoy them; the third is to support Tsai Ing-wen’s cyber army, who are now very "brave" and cannot speak against the cyber army; the fourth is the "Indo-Pacific alliance" that the Cai authorities very much hope. Cai will not violate and tie Cai.
He believes that Tsai Ing-wen’s re-elected inaugural speech should have mentioned the keynotes of "equality, dignity, and peace", meaning that the two sides of the strait will not stay old and dead. The doors on both sides of the strait are open at any time, but they all talk about mainland China. Will not accept the conditions, expressing Cai's uprightness. On the contrary, mainland China has more challenges than Tsai Ing-wen. Tsai lasts two years at most, and no one will care about her in the third year. Tsai is now Chi Ying Baotai.
Shen Fuxiong mentioned that Trump will be re-elected at the end of this year, although it is also one of the variables in cross-strait relations, but whether the Democratic Party or Republican Party in the United States does not "anti-China", we must look forward to Tsai Ing-wen’s deployment and a great breakthrough. , To have great achievements, it would be a taboo of many people, Cai chose not to do it.
As for Tsai Ing-wen's re-election, is the cross-strait discussion more intensified to please the cyber army? Shen Fuxiong believes that Tsai Ing-wen's cross-strait argument does not need to please the cyber army, as long as he does not offend the cyber army. Regardless of who is the leader of the Taiwan region, he will talk about the "Constitution" and the "Regulations on Cross-Strait People's Relations." These two things are the basic cards. There is no room for repairs in cross-strait relations, because these two things are "maintenance". Although the mainland sometimes criticizes the status quo, these two basic disks are generally not hindered.
Tsai Ing-wen’s new term is there any possible relaxation on both sides of the strait? Shen Fuxiong also said that moderation is also very difficult. Tsai Ing-wen’s talk will be angered by Cai’s basic supporters if the mainland thinks it is moderation. Cai’s space is very narrow. If the mainland can support, then the supporters next to Cai cannot accept it. Tsai is walking on the tightrope, which sounds very sinister, but Tsai Ing-wen has a wide space now. At this moment Tsai has nothing to do. I hope Tsai can develop another pattern.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-