This morning, there was finally some happy news. After spending so long following the war and global news, it's really relaxing to see positive news like this once in a while. Lebanon and Israel have signed a ceasefire agreement, which the Israeli cabinet has approved. After many months of conflict, there is finally a sign of improvement in the Middle East.
According to the agreement, the core content of the ceasefire is Israel's commitment to withdraw its troops and complete the withdrawal within 60 days. This time frame is interesting because in 60 days, Trump will return as President of the United States. Through this move, Israel not only gives Biden a "face", but also maintains good relations with Trump's supporters to avoid offending any party.
During this transition period, Israel’s withdrawal will be coordinated with the presence of the Lebanese army, mainly in the area south of the Litani River, which is the part of Lebanon that borders Israel. This area has long been controlled by Hezbollah, and Israel's goal is very clear, which is to allow more people to safely return to their homes in northern Israel.
In the areas bordering Israel and Lebanon, the key issue is ensuring that there is no armed presence of Hezbollah. Israel hopes to avoid conflicts such as rocket attacks in the area. The demands of both parties are therefore very clear: Israel hopes to completely eliminate the threat to its security from Hezbollah, while Lebanon hopes to maintain sovereignty and stability.
Israel’s original plan was to directly destroy Hezbollah through forceful means. The new defense minister had stated that he would eliminate Hezbollah in one fell swoop, but Israel’s chief of general staff believed that this approach was unrealistic. Although Israel used technical means to attack the top leaders of Hezbollah, destroyed its communication command system, and carried out many assassinations and sabotage, such as pager bombings. However, Hezbollah still has its decentralized armed forces and cannot be completely eliminated. Israel's goal is to weaken Hezbollah so that it cannot threaten Israel's security in the short term, but completely eliminating this threat remains unrealistic.
Therefore, the key to reaching a ceasefire agreement is to hand over the border areas in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese government forces. In this way, hostilities between Israel and Lebanon can be avoided, and the conflict between the two parties will be limited to Hezbollah, a non-state armed force. This arrangement would amount to Israel shifting the conflict away from the Lebanese government and towards the fight against Hezbollah, without directly conflicting with the Lebanese government.
For the Lebanese government, Hezbollah plays a role similar to that of a warlord in its southern region. Not only does Hezbollah have its own army, charities and educational institutions, but it also disobeys the Lebanese government in many aspects. Although Israel's attack on Hezbollah has led to the displacement of a large number of Lebanese people, the religious and sectarian conflicts within Lebanon, especially the sectarian disputes between Islam and Christianity, and the sectarian disputes within Islam, have made the Lebanese government appear weak in dealing with this issue. It is very complicated, and there are even considerations of using external forces to "kill the enemy".
Both sides have been exhausted from the long-term conflict and have basically achieved their respective goals. The intervention of external forces such as the United States and France also promoted the conclusion of a ceasefire agreement to a certain extent, prompting all parties to temporarily cease fighting. Israel agreed to a ceasefire, but the agreement explicitly stipulated that it reserves the right to take military action at any time if Israel is threatened again.
This means that if Hezbollah or other armed forces launch rockets again, Israel will have the right to dispatch its air force to strike. This clause is clearly written into the agreement to ensure that Israel can take pre-emptive defensive measures in the face of any future security threats. For Israel, this is the bottom line for ensuring its national security and people's lives, and any form of security threat cannot be tolerated.
Hezbollah suffered heavy losses in this conflict and will not be able to pose a threat to Israel in the short term. The Lebanese government is facing huge domestic losses. Although external forces have helped eliminate some domestic military forces, the stability and reconstruction of Lebanese society is still full of challenges.
In the long run, the ceasefire agreement will be beneficial to the reunification of Lebanon. For Trump, this is undoubtedly a big gift. Naturally, he would not be dissatisfied when he saw the fighting stop as soon as he took the stage. The armistice itself is good news. It is indeed very hard for us in the international military circle to pay attention to conflicts and understand wars. Paying attention to the meaning of war is not only to understand the specific war situation, but also to pursue peace. So we have every reason to applaud this ceasefire.
This morning, there was finally some happy news. After spending so long following the war and global news, it's really relaxing to see positive news like this once in a while. Lebanon and Israel have signed a ceasefire agreement, which the Israeli cabinet has approved. After many months of conflict, there is finally a sign of improvement in the Middle East.
According to the agreement, the core content of the ceasefire is Israel's commitment to withdraw its troops and complete the withdrawal within 60 days. This time frame is interesting because in 60 days, Trump will return as President of the United States. Through this move, Israel not only gives Biden a "face", but also maintains good relations with Trump's supporters to avoid offending any party.
During this transition period, Israel’s withdrawal will be coordinated with the presence of the Lebanese army, mainly in the area south of the Litani River, which is the part of Lebanon that borders Israel. This area has long been controlled by Hezbollah, and Israel's goal is very clear, which is to allow more people to safely return to their homes in northern Israel.
In the areas bordering Israel and Lebanon, the key issue is ensuring that there is no armed presence of Hezbollah. Israel hopes to avoid conflicts such as rocket attacks in the area. The demands of both parties are therefore very clear: Israel hopes to completely eliminate the threat to its security from Hezbollah, while Lebanon hopes to maintain sovereignty and stability.
Israel’s original plan was to directly destroy Hezbollah through forceful means. The new defense minister had stated that he would eliminate Hezbollah in one fell swoop, but Israel’s chief of general staff believed that this approach was unrealistic. Although Israel used technical means to attack the top leaders of Hezbollah, destroyed its communication command system, and carried out many assassinations and sabotage, such as pager bombings. However, Hezbollah still has its decentralized armed forces and cannot be completely eliminated. Israel's goal is to weaken Hezbollah so that it cannot threaten Israel's security in the short term, but completely eliminating this threat remains unrealistic.
Therefore, the key to reaching a ceasefire agreement is to hand over the border areas in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese government forces. In this way, hostilities between Israel and Lebanon can be avoided, and the conflict between the two parties will be limited to Hezbollah, a non-state armed force. This arrangement would amount to Israel shifting the conflict away from the Lebanese government and towards the fight against Hezbollah, without directly conflicting with the Lebanese government.
For the Lebanese government, Hezbollah plays a role similar to that of a warlord in its southern region. Not only does Hezbollah have its own army, charities and educational institutions, but it also disobeys the Lebanese government in many aspects. Although Israel's attack on Hezbollah has led to the displacement of a large number of Lebanese people, the religious and sectarian conflicts within Lebanon, especially the sectarian disputes between Islam and Christianity, and the sectarian disputes within Islam, have made the Lebanese government appear weak in dealing with this issue. It is very complicated, and there are even considerations of using external forces to "kill the enemy".
Both sides have been exhausted from the long-term conflict and have basically achieved their respective goals. The intervention of external forces such as the United States and France also promoted the conclusion of a ceasefire agreement to a certain extent, prompting all parties to temporarily cease fighting. Israel agreed to a ceasefire, but the agreement explicitly stipulated that it reserves the right to take military action at any time if Israel is threatened again.
This means that if Hezbollah or other armed forces launch rockets again, Israel will have the right to dispatch its air force to strike. This clause is clearly written into the agreement to ensure that Israel can take pre-emptive defensive measures in the face of any future security threats. For Israel, this is the bottom line for ensuring its national security and people's lives, and any form of security threat cannot be tolerated.
Hezbollah suffered heavy losses in this conflict and will not be able to pose a threat to Israel in the short term. The Lebanese government is facing huge domestic losses. Although external forces have helped eliminate some domestic military forces, the stability and reconstruction of Lebanese society is still full of challenges.
In the long run, the ceasefire agreement will be beneficial to the reunification of Lebanon. For Trump, this is undoubtedly a big gift. Naturally, he would not be dissatisfied when he saw the fighting stop as soon as he took the stage. The armistice itself is good news. It is indeed very hard for us in the international military circle to pay attention to conflicts and understand wars. Paying attention to the meaning of war is not only to understand the specific war situation, but also to pursue peace. So we have every reason to applaud this ceasefire.
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