At the critical moment, Trump surprises China and Russia, and the script for mediating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is revealed. If Trump returns to the White House, Ukraine will become the biggest loser, and China will usher in a major opportunity.
Trump has told the outside world more than once in a rather relaxed tone that once he is successfully elected, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will be resolved within one day. Previously, Trump did not explain how he would solve this thorny problem, but with the arrival of the US election, Trump's script for mediating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine was suddenly exposed.
According to the Financial Associated Press, Trump’s plan to end this conflict may include not allowing Ukraine to join NATO, creating an autonomous demilitarized zone on the Russia-Ukraine border, and having European forces supervise the implementation of the ceasefire agreement.
In addition, the report also revealed that Trump’s advisers believe that it is unreasonable for the United States to shoulder the financial burden of maintaining peace, and that European countries should bear the primary responsibility for resolving conflicts. Even though the U.S. Republican Party has not reached a unified opinion on this, many people They all agree to leave the Ukrainian issue to Europe.
Trump’s mediation plan undoubtedly gave China and Russia a surprise. Seeing this, many people may ask, Trump’s refusal of Ukraine to join NATO means that Russia becomes the winner of this conflict, so Trump’s mediation script does play into Russia’s hands, but why is it said that China has inadvertently gained What about the surprise? Could it be said that China is also the beneficiary?
Thinking about it carefully, there seems to be nothing wrong with this statement, because it is not difficult to see from Trump’s plan that he intends to be a hands-off boss. If he can return to the White House, he will quickly push Europe out to clean up this mess for the United States. , including allowing Europe to send troops to monitor the implementation of the ceasefire agreement.
But Europe is not a fool. The Russia-Ukraine conflict itself was started by the United States. More importantly, Europe has lost its source of cheap energy since it followed the United States and turned against Russia, and its life has become increasingly difficult.
In response to this, the United States not only took advantage of the crisis and sold high-priced natural gas to Europe. Now that Ukraine’s value has been squeezed out, it also wants to wipe its mouth and leave, leaving Europe to pay for the United States. European countries will certainly not tolerate Trump's typical behavior of cheating his teammates. One day, the long-standing dissatisfaction will completely erupt.
By that time, the differences between the United States and Europe will be increasingly widening, and the relationship between the two parties is likely to fall to a freezing point. It is true that when relations between the United States and Europe and Russia and Europe have encountered major obstacles, if Europe wants to seek development and restore its former prosperity, it has only one option left, and that is to maintain good relations with China.
In view of the fact that during Trump’s first term, the negotiations on the China-EU Investment Agreement went smoothly. However, after Biden came to power, he encouraged Europe to work in step with the United States on China issues, and the negotiations reached a deadlock. Therefore, it is foreseeable that, assuming Trump wins the election, the China-EU Investment Agreement will most likely be put back on the agenda. As China and the EU promote the resumption of the agreement, China-EU cooperation in various fields will also be upgraded. Looking at it this way, if Trump takes office, China may have a major opportunity to repair China-EU economic and trade relations and strengthen the stability of China-EU relations.
But from another aspect, if Trump wins the election and the United States withdraws from Europe, it will not be ruled out that Trump's United States will focus its strategy on the Asia-Pacific region, especially against China. We should also pay enough attention to the situation.
The aforementioned "mediation script" is what the Ukrainian side least wants to see. After all, when that time comes, Ukraine will really become the biggest loser in this conflict. Not only will it lose both people and money, but it will also Even Ski's "dream of signing a contract" was shattered, and in the end he got nothing.
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