According to a latest poll by Taiwan media, in the Taipei mayoral election in which blue, green and white are interested in running for election, the support of Kuomintang "legislator" Jiang Wanan and the head of the health department of the DPP authority Chen Shizhong is only poor. about 3 percentage points. Taoyuan City Councilor Niu Xuting, who is not a party member, analyzed today (15th) that Chen's polling figures in Taipei City are now obviously mixed. A bold tactic, that is, not pushing people to run for election in Taipei City, and supporting Huang Shanshan.
Taiwan media "ETtoday News Cloud" polling center released the latest poll yesterday. Among the three people who intend to run for the mayoral election in Taipei, Jiang Wanan has the highest support at 35.0%, followed by Chen Shizhong with 32.1%, Taipei City Deputy Mayor Huang Shanshan 20.7%, no response was 12.2%. Niu Xuting was interviewed by the radio this morning. The host Yang Baozhen asked that Jiang Wanan's supporters are older. Is it because he played the "Jiang family card" and young people felt that it was too far away to pay the bill? Niu Xuting believes that this is still related to the brand image of the political party. The Kuomintang's political party decision-making system is relatively conservative and far from young people; emerging voters aged 20-39 and intermediate voters are a little disappointed with the blue and green parties, so they project their expectations to "Third Force".
But Niu Xuting also believes that it is too early to draw conclusions about the battle situation, and the polls are looking at the trend. The blue-green support level has been similar from September 2020 to the present. The biggest change is Huang Shanshan, because she is the most active of the three, regardless of her position on public issues in Taipei, offense and defense of online issues, and exposure in various fields. , so it is reasonable for the polls to have a corresponding growth; but the key is whether it will grow further, more than 20%, and become a real "three kingdoms", it depends.
Yang Baozhen said that local grassroots voices believe that Jiang Wanan's personality is too warm, and voters want to see more combat-effective politicians. Niu Xuting said that the formation of Jiang Wan'an's team should come out as soon as possible, especially who is going to be the attacker. In addition, Taipei City Councilor Luo Zhiqiang is more aggressive. If he can successfully run for election in Taoyuan, it will be more helpful for Jiang Wanan's election in Taipei, and they can complement each other.
Regarding the first round of Taoyuan mayor, Niu Xuting said that the DPP is most looking forward to Chen Shizhong coming to Taoyuan for election, it should be Zheng Wencan Mayor, because he has a difficulty in succession, he will expect the DPP to send a "airborne" strong stick . But Chen Shizhong is now 68 years old, and his momentum is right, which may be the best time for him to run for the election in history.
is just Chen Shizhong really want to choose Taoyuan? Niu Xuting questioned this, saying that because Chen Shizhong is familiar with Taipei, the poll data is still collage; if he wants to give up his position as the head of the health department and go to a strange Taoyuan, he doesn't even know what Zheng Wencan can leave him. , which is a big consideration.
Niu Xuting also believes that the DPP, except Chen Shizhong, does not have a face to face. If Chen Shizhong really wants to elect the mayor of Taoyuan, it is very likely that the DPP will once again adopt a very bold tactic. Huang Shanshan, who is a candidate for the party membership.
Niu Xuting said, of course, people don't see it that way now, but elections are changing. The chance of Chen Shi winning Taipei is high, but if he doesn't get elected as the mayor of Taipei, he would also want to stay in charge of the health department. The election of the mayor of Taoyuan City will be ranked third. (Jingxian Lin/Editor)
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