Russia is mobilizing 300,000 people to participate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which means that more than one million troops have been invested in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict seems to have entered a stage of a strategic decisive battle on a grand scale in history.
Now that Russia has launched a large-scale national defense mobilization into the Russia-Ukraine conflict, it is necessary for us to make an inventory of the ins and outs of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. , especially the three large-scale battles fought by the Russian army and the Ukrainian army, look at the specific operations and losses of the Russian army, and make predictions about the future direction of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
First, the three large-scale battles of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
1. The Russian army made a full-scale blitz. No one will forget that on February 24, 2022, Russia launched hundreds of cruise missiles to violently attack Ukrainian targets. The Russian army of 200,000 troops launched a large-scale attack in three directions.
However, the Russian army made mistakes as soon as they started to attack. The flanks of the Russian V Corps were exposed for 200 kilometers, while the V Corps' offensive frontal width was only 20 kilometers. Once the Ukrainian attacked from the flank, the V Corps was finished. Fortunately, the Ukrainian army did not make a targeted deployment at the beginning, so that the Russian V Corps narrowly escaped.
Due to the poor road conditions in Ukrainian, the Russian military convoy was struggling to move forward on Ukrainian roads. Because the Russian army did not fully grasp the air superiority , the Ukrainian army could attack the Russian army convoy at any time. Under the stubborn resistance of the Ukrainian army, the Russian army's attack on Kyiv, , Sumy and other big cities failed, and the Russian airborne regiment's attack on Ukraine's Kyiv also failed.
2. The Russian army invested more than 100,000 troops to violently attack the Ukrainian defense line in the tough battle in the Donbass, but the Ukrainian army fought to the death on the ground, and the Russian army made little progress. At the end of the battle, the Ukrainian army still controlled 45% of the territory of the Donetsk region, and the Russian army had suffered 30,000 casualties. And the amount of artillery shells consumed by the Russian army in the Donbass has exceeded the in the Battle of Stalingrad.
In the Battle of Stalingrad, the Soviet army annihilated 1.5 million German troops with huge sacrifices, and the heavy army group of the German Army Group South was wiped out, and the turning point of World War II came. But in the tough battle in the Donbass, the Russian army consumed ammunition comparable to the Stalingrad , but did not achieve the results of Stalingrad. Is the Russian army less effective than the Soviet army in the past?
3. Battle of Kherson. The Battle of Kherson was a shame for the Russian army. The Russian army invested three paratrooper divisions and all the troops of the Eastern Military Region to prepare for a decisive battle with the Ukrainian army in the Kherson area. Unexpectedly, the Ukrainian army used the Haimas to blow up the channel for the Russian army to retreat in Kherson. The Russian army panicked and was forced to retreat from the front line. The 20th Army of the Russian Guards dropped more than 500 tanks and armored vehicles , which ran faster than rabbits.
From the analysis and introduction of the above three battles, we can see that the tactics of the Russian army are quite rigid, and the will to fight does not seem to be very firm. Once defeated, throw down their weapons and flee. Since 200,000 Russian troops could not handle the Ukrainian army, Russia could only activate 300,000 reserve troops to go to the front to reverse the defeat.
What is even more terrifying is that the elite troops of the Russian army lost more than half of them in combat. The 1st Guards Tank Army dropped more than 130 tanks in the retreat, and the 20th Guards Army dropped more than 500 tanks and armored vehicles. This kind of loss, the Russian army can bear, but the blow to the Russian army in terms of morale is heavier than the loss of equipment.
According to relevant information, the Russian army has 2,800 tanks, and has lost 1,029 tanks, of which more than 200 tanks have become the trophies of the Ukrainian army. Since the Russian tank industry cannot provide tanks to the front-line troops in time, the Russian army can only rely on the Soviet tanks in the warehouse to maintain combat effectiveness.
Second, Russia will not only mobilize 300,000 reservists, but also more than 2 million Russian reservists. In the future Ukrainian war, the Russian army's revenge operation will become more brutal and fierce, and the Ukrainian army's losses will be even more severe. As for the final outcome, it is very likely that Zelensky signed an armistice agreement with the Russian army in the case of losing all or most of his troops, and recognized the Russian army's occupation of several states in Eastern Ukraine.
The Russian nation has a personality, as long as it is determined by the topLove must be achieved. Even more so on the battlefield. If the front-line troops suffered heavy losses, the Russian army's revenge battle would be so intense that the Ukrainian army could not imagine it.
For the current Russia, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is already related to Russia's national destiny. Once the Russian army fails, Russia will not only lose face internationally, but the fascist forces in Ukraine will also rise, further threatening European security.
Therefore, the current Russian army must do its best to continue fighting, and mobilizing 300,000 reserve troops is the first step that Russia can do to maintain the war, and there is still a next step.
Why is the Russian army's 200,000 troops unable to deal with Ukraine and has to mobilize 300,000 reserves? The reason is that after the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the , the domestic situation in Russia has undergone very complex changes, and the military reform has gone through twists and turns. In the current Russian army, some of the 200,000 troops on the front line are Chechen troops. There are also some Russian troops in
. The total strength is about 120,000. The contract soldiers in the rear are . Since the Russian army does not allow conscripts to go to the battlefield, the Russian army added 120,000 contract soldiers to the 13 army groups and trained them. Draw directly to the front line with contract soldiers with combat experience. The contract soldiers went to the battlefield in a hurry, plus Putin did not take measures to escalate the war for more than 200 days after the outbreak of the war, and also prohibited the Russian army from attacking Ukrainian civilian targets. did not achieve the desired effect.
The Russian army is now rapidly mobilized. In his speech, Putin further mentioned the oppression and bloody atrocities of the Ukrainian fascists against the people of East Ukraine, showing that the Russian army and civilians are all determined to fight the enemy and the Ukrainian army to the end. Under the comprehensive mobilization of the Russian authorities, Russian youths have entered the military camp to receive military training, and they have taken up arms and are ready to go to the battlefield where they will fight fascists to the death. President Putin also signed an order that citizens who refuse to perform military service will be sentenced to up to 10 years in prison. legally eliminates the possibility of any deserters, and Russia will mobilize more reserve troops to the front under the action of the efficient mobilization mechanism and the legal authority of .
Once the Eastern Ukrainian 4 states are incorporated into Russia, Russia can send newly mobilized reserve forces to fully undertake the defense tasks of the 4 states. The more than 100,000 troops of the Russian army on the front line, together with Wagner mercenaries, Chechen troops and Belarusian troops, will free up their hands to launch a full-scale counterattack without any scruples. The north attacked Sumy and Kharkiv , and the south counterattacked Odessa to stabilize the front. There will be 600,000 Russian troops in the entire battlefield of , and the total number of troops participating in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine exceeds one million, making it the largest local war since the Cold War and . If NATO really wants to fight, the 2 million troops in the rear of Russia will also mobilize and fight NATO to the end.
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