In the Lanying primary election, the king secretly wrestles! Who is beneficial to the polls?

According to Taiwanese media ET today, the KMT will pass the special method for primary elections at the Central Standing Committee as soon as May 18, and is expected to conduct a poll and announce the results in early July. Whether the primary election will be conducted by a national poll and the inclusion of the mayor of Kaohsiung Hanguo Yu in the primary election has become the focus of the struggle among several kings within the blue camp.

"Wu Wanghui": Dissatisfied with the secret approval of the "Korean Clause"

"Wu Hanhui", Kuomintang Chairman Wu Dunyi met with Wang Jinping on May 2 to discuss matters related to the party's primary election. Compared to the "Wu-Han Meeting" which lasted 40 minutes, the "Wu King Meeting" lasted nearly an hour. After the meeting, Wang Jinping made three statements in the face of the media, including 's requirement that the "party central committee" should not "set things up with people", and that the primary election method must comply with the principles of fairness and justice, and reiterated his determination to stand in the election.

According to Taiwanese media reports, when meeting with Wu Dunyi, Wang Jinping expressed his dissatisfaction with the use of a public poll in the primary election, and once submitted an article entitled "The Distance Between Them and Stupidity" to Wu Dunyi. This article was written by Ma Jiahui, an assistant professor in the Department of Chinese and History, City University of Hong Kong. The article pointed out that in the 2020 KMT’s primary election from the "three-seven" poll to a national poll, and proactively put Kaohsiung Mayor Hanguo Yu on the primary list, it is the so-called "Korean protection clause."

In an interview with the media the next day, Wang Jinping also expressed his dissatisfaction with changing the primary election system again. He said that the "three-seven system" was previously passed by the Central Committee, and it has not yet been changed. Before the nomination method was released, the "Party Central Committee" asked him to exchange opinions at the Party Department, and he only expressed his opinions. This was also his right. Wang Jinping believes that the most important thing now is that the nomination method of the "Party Central Committee" must conform to democratic principles, be fair and just, and do not set things up for personal reasons. Once the nomination method is determined, he will follow it.

"Wu Zhuhui": The team can't rely solely on the star player

. After meeting with Wang Jinping, on May 4, Wu Dunyi and the former New Taipei Mayor Zhu Lilun's "Wu Zhuhui" debuted at the "Central Party Headquarters" of the Kuomintang. The two A closed-door meeting was held for about 45 minutes. Zhu Lilun put forward the "4 musts" after the meeting, calling on the Blue Army to unite, and predicted that a press conference will be held next week to examine the governance of the Cai administration.

Earlier, Wu Dunyi intended to have a closed-door meeting with the candidates, but Zhu Lilun insisted on making the meeting public, and even once said that "if it is not open, it will be suspended." After the meeting, Zhu Lilun said that regardless of whether the talks are open or not, the content is the same, that is, to insist on the "four musts." First, in the 2020 "general election", the KMT must win the election. The DPP’s "ruling" will cause economic decline and cross-strait peace will be greatly affected. Zhu Lilun will definitely go all out. Second, at , we are a family and a team. We have a good hand, which is much better than the bad hand of the DPP. We must unite together, never hurt comrades in the party, and never hit our own people.

Third, I hope that through the primary elections, everyone will see that the Kuomintang is a democratic party. Through the primary elections, each candidate will show his demeanor, and let everyone see it through political meetings or debates. Fourth, we hope to organize the formation of a large blue army think tank as soon as possible and propose specific and feasible policies as the common political opinion of the KMT 2020, so that the public can see our policy and direction.

Regarding whether the primary election was conducted in a referendum and Han Yu was included, Zhu Lilun said on the 3rd that expressed his support for the referendum four months ago, but if a team of only depends on "one "Star players" cannot win the battle.

Poll expert: The national poll is most beneficial to Guo Taiming.

Regarding the primary election system, the great kings of the blue camp secretly wrestle with each other, so what impact will the differences in primary election methods have on the candidates?

Taiwanese polling expert Dai Li'an said in an interview with the Hong Kong China Commentary that, judging from the polls, the current KMT’s strongest player is still Han Yu. If the final KMT primaries are conducted by polls and the proportion of party members is divided, it will be more favorable to the KMT non-partition “legislator” Wang Jinping who has more party votes. ; for Han Guoyu, he also has the support of the Huang Fuxing Party Department , The most unfavorable is Guo Taiming. Therefore, if adopts a national poll, it is more beneficial to Guo Taiming. The national poll is open to the general public to express their opinions. At this point in time, removing party members from voting can reduce his pressure.

Taiwanese business leaders: Guo Taiming is difficultAfter the primaries

, ​​if the Kuomintang finally adopts a public poll for the primary election, the outside world generally believes that it will eventually evolve into a pk match between Han and Guo. However, Wang Yingjie, chairman of the Taipei City Chamber of Commerce, believes that Gou's chance of passing the primary election is not high.

According to the Hong Kong China Commentary, Wang Yingjie analyzed that after Trump became the president of the United States and set a precedent for an entrepreneur to be a leader, there were many voices of Guo Taiming's election for 2020. However, Taiwanese people hate and hate the rich very much, and Guo Taiming's situation is not optimistic. What's more, most of his companies are overseas, and their influence in Taiwan is not as good as that of Far East Group Chairman Xu Xudong and Fubon Group Chairman Cai Mingzhong. Coupled with the fact that its high-tech industries have enjoyed many preferential policies such as investment tax exemptions in various places, it will make people feel "robbing the poor and helping the rich".

In addition, among the grassroots voters, although Guo Taiming is the child of the grassroots police, his 20 years of fortune has given people a superior image, not as approachable as Hanguo Yu. In addition, Han Guoyu has been tested by various units during the campaign for the mayor of Kaohsiung, but Guo Taiming did not. Therefore, he believes that Guo Taiming is unlikely to pass the primary election, at most between Zhu Lilun and Zhu Lilun.

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produced by the Straits Herald International Exchange Center

Editor: Hong Weisheng

Part of the pictures and content are quoted from Dongsen News Cloud, Hong Kong China Review, etc.