Iran carried out retaliatory strikes against Israel amid much publicity. The reason why
wants to strike back in a high-profile manner is to let the whole world see that Iran has carried out large-scale retaliation against Israel to prove Iran's toughness.
Judging from the process and results of retaliation, this action is of a certain performance nature, or its purpose is just to show one's own posture, not to really do anything to Israel.
This reminds people of the situation when Iran bombed US military bases a few years ago. The situation was similar. Iran was forced to have no choice but to choose the most direct way to retaliate. These two retaliations by
did not lead to any serious consequences, so all parties have maintained a tacit understanding.
However, not everyone is willing to act according to the script, and some people want to use the topic to their advantage.
Iran admitted that it had sent notice in advance
According to "Reference News", Iranian Foreign Minister Abdullahiyan said at a press conference that Iran notified its friends and neighbors 72 hours in advance, and Iran's response to Israel is inevitable. Legal and irreversible.
He also revealed that Iran has informed the United States that the attack on Israel is limited and is only for self-defense.
Abdullahiyan’s words gave people the feeling of exposing his own shortcomings, but in fact, he was trying to send a signal to the outside world: Iran’s action was very responsible and it did everything before and after the action. A lot of work went into ensuring that retaliation was carried out without causing the situation to spiral out of control.
Although it did not specify which countries were notified 72 hours in advance, it is certain that Iran exposed part of its action plan in advance, so the United States gave a more accurate "prediction" in terms of time and scale of the attack before the attack began. Specific data are given.
And Israel has also been prepared early, waiting for the arrival of the Iranian attack.
This is equivalent to everyone acting in a play. As long as you follow the script, it will not trigger a large-scale war.
Some people are dishonest
But not everyone wants to follow the script.
After being attacked by Iran, the Israeli war cabinet held a meeting. At the meeting, some people put forward suggestions for retaliation against Iran. However, these suggestions were withdrawn after Netanyahu called Biden.
This shows that there are indeed people in Israel who want to exploit the issue, including Netanyahu, who should also have considered taking some actions against Iran.
However, the leaders of the United States and Israel finally returned to the script and completed the final process.
Now, this matter has come to an end. However, judging from the differences within Israel, Israel did not retaliate immediately. does not mean that it will not retaliate in the future. After all, Israel can take the initiative to stir up trouble when nothing happens, let alone Israel now. After receiving a beating, it is unlikely that he will take this breath. He should wait for the tense situation to end before making long-term plans.
The United States does not want to fall out with Iran
This time Israel can "listen to the advice". The United States should have exerted great pressure. The United States has always wanted the world to be in chaos, but the premise is that it will not fall into it.
Once a full-scale war breaks out between Israel and Iran, the United States will inevitably fall into it.
Unlike the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, if a war breaks out between Israel and Iran, the United States will have to end up on its own.
The US military does have many bases in the Middle East and has deployed a large number of weapons and equipment, but Iran, as the Tiger of the Middle East, is not a vegetarian.
The United States leads a group of NATO allies but cannot even handle Afghanistan. If it starts a war with Iran, the consequences will only be more serious.
So even if the United States itself was beaten last time, it did not fight back against Iran, let alone Israel being beaten this time, so the United States has no reason to get involved.
And there is an election this year. The Biden Democratic administration in the United States is facing the huge debt and deficit crisis in the United States, as well as the surging inflationary pressure. The last thing they want is for the situation in the Middle East to continue to escalate, or even completely escape from the control of the United States.If a war breaks out in the Middle East and triggers a domestic crisis in the United States, the Democratic Party will not need to vote and will lose directly.
